Latest signal:
YMM Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 93 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-31 → 2025-02-14
⚠️ Small sample size (93 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, YMM alerts reach +3.75% profit potential within 88 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.68%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.24x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 93 alerts, YMM typically reaches +3.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical YMM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:27:40 | $13.04 | -2.61% | -3.57% | -2.22% | -3.45% | -2.61% | - | - | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:26:32 | $12.44 | -2.25% | -0.28% | +0.08% | +0.48% | +1.21% | +2.09% | -2.89% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:28:39 | $11.44 | -2.45% | -2.49% | -1.92% | -1.97% | -0.96% | - | -1.75% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-12-26 | 09:29:19 | $11.26 | -0.27% | -0.22% | -0.22% | +0.09% | -1.15% | +0.71% | -1.24% | +0.71% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-23 | 09:27:12 | $11.32 | -1.68% | -1.10% | -1.86% | -1.86% | -1.15% | -0.44% | -0.53% | -0.62% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-18 | 09:25:04 | $10.93 | - | +0.27% | -0.78% | +0.41% | -0.18% | +1.01% | -0.87% | - | - |
| 2024-12-13 | 09:28:38 | $11.11 | +0.36% | -0.09% | +0.95% | +1.85% | +0.90% | +2.34% | -0.63% | +0.09% | WIN |
| 2024-12-11 | 09:27:28 | $11.65 | +0.09% | +0.34% | -1.03% | -0.47% | -1.29% | +0.77% | -2.40% | -1.29% | WIN |
| 2024-12-09 | 09:27:43 | $11.45 | -0.44% | +2.80% | +4.50% | +3.58% | +7.25% | +8.91% | -0.96% | +0.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-29 | 09:27:14 | $9.95 | -0.95% | -0.90% | +0.45% | +0.05% | +0.60% | +0.65% | -1.41% | +0.20% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-27 | 09:28:59 | $10.01 | -0.70% | -1.50% | -1.60% | -1.45% | -0.40% | +0.55% | -1.40% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-11-25 | 09:28:00 | $9.49 | -0.84% | +0.26% | -0.47% | -0.58% | - | +0.53% | -2.53% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-22 | 09:28:22 | $9.55 | -0.84% | -1.20% | -1.52% | -1.68% | -1.88% | +0.31% | -1.47% | -0.52% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-20 | 09:26:26 | $8.83 | +2.15% | +2.60% | +5.27% | +5.55% | +11.44% | +12.57% | -0.11% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2024-11-15 | 09:28:57 | $8.33 | -0.90% | +0.36% | - | +0.72% | -0.12% | +0.84% | -1.32% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-11-14 | 09:25:55 | $8.4 | -1.55% | -1.73% | -1.73% | -1.96% | -1.79% | +0.60% | -0.95% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:29:19 | $8.99 | -0.06% | -0.06% | +0.95% | +0.06% | -0.56% | +1.00% | -0.33% | +0.11% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-08 | 09:27:48 | $9.35 | +1.66% | +3.32% | +3.37% | +4.60% | +4.28% | +6.15% | -0.21% | +0.32% | WIN |
| 2024-10-07 | 09:25:23 | $10.17 | +0.79% | -0.49% | +0.19% | -0.49% | -2.06% | +1.18% | -0.49% | +0.79% | WIN |
| 2024-10-04 | 09:26:10 | $9.77 | -1.13% | -1.13% | -1.18% | -0.36% | +2.66% | +4.40% | -1.94% | +0.10% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ YMM Shows Negative Expectancy
With 47.3% win rate and -0.06% average gain, YMM alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider YMM for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze YMM with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for YMM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, YMM historically offers an average upside of +3.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 YMM Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 47.3%, YMM shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests YMM may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: YMM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.06%). This suggests YMM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.