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ZEO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-15 → 2025-01-21

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Zeo Energy Corporation Class A Common Stock CONSTRUCTION - SPECIAL TRADE CONTRACTORS (SIC 1700)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 14, 2024 🔗 investors.zeoenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $34.3M 👥 Employees: 190
Zeo Energy Corp is a vertically integrated provider of residential solar energy systems, other energy-efficient equipment, and related services currently serving customers in Florida, Texas, Arkansas, and Missouri. Its primary business activity is selling and installing residential solar energy systems that homeowners use to supplement the amount of usable electricity required to power their homes.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
28.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-7.43%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+11.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.90%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.90%
Best: -0.71%
Worst: -16.07%
Trades: 0/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -6.59%
Avg Winner: +8.13%
Avg Loser: -9.04%
Best: +8.13%
Worst: -15.48%
Trades: 1/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -7.43%
Avg Winner: +6.11%
Avg Loser: -12.84%
Best: +11.43%
Worst: -25.83%
Trades: 2/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -5.97%
Avg Winner: +10.94%
Avg Loser: -12.73%
Best: +21.50%
Worst: -30.95%
Trades: 2/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -4.28%
Avg Winner: +5.75%
Avg Loser: -8.30%
Best: +7.00%
Worst: -22.86%
Trades: 2/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.53%
Best MFE: +42.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 58 min

On average, ZEO alerts reach +11.53% profit potential within 58 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -8.82%
Worst MAE: -21.07%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 8.82%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.31:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, ZEO typically reaches +11.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 71.4%
Avg Gap +0.37%
Best Gap +1.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CONSTRUCTION - SPECIAL TRADE CONTRACTORS

How ZEO compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ZEO: -5.90% Sector: -0.54% -5.35%
EOD Gain
ZEO: -4.28% Sector: -0.64% -3.64%
Avg MFE
ZEO: +11.53% Sector: +7.99% +3.54%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ZEO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-21 09:28:42 $3.29 -6.08% -4.86% -1.52% -6.38% -1.52% +0.91% -13.07% +0.30% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:37 $3.65 -5.48% -10.42% -18.36% -13.70% -9.59% +6.30% -3.01% +0.27% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:26:43 $2.57 -4.67% -6.19% +0.78% +0.39% +7.00% +8.95% -6.23% - LOSS
2024-12-09 09:28:14 $2.66 -5.64% -14.29% -10.64% -9.29% -0.38% +5.26% -9.02% +1.50% LOSS
2024-09-20 09:29:49 $2.67 -2.62% -3.00% -7.87% -3.35% +4.49% +10.49% -8.24% +1.12% LOSS
2024-09-19 09:26:04 $2.8 -16.07% +8.13% +11.43% +21.50% -7.14% +42.86% -21.07% -1.43% LOSS
2024-03-15 09:25:03 $8.4 -0.71% -15.48% -25.83% -30.95% -22.86% +5.95% -1.07% +0.83% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ZEO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 28.6% win rate and -7.43% average gain, ZEO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ZEO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ZEO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ZEO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ZEO historically offers an average upside of +11.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ZEO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 28.6%, ZEO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ZEO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ZEO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -7.43%). This suggests ZEO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.