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Latest signal:

LUV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 146 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 1973 🔗 www.southwest.com
💰 Market Cap: $21.69B 👥 Employees: 72,223
Southwest Airlines is the largest domestic air carrier in the United States by passengers boarded. Southwest operates nearly 800 aircraft in an all-Boeing 737 fleet. Despite offering some longer routes and a few perks for business travelers, the airline predominantly specializes in short-haul, leisure flights operated in a single, open-seating cabin configuration in a point-to-point network. In early 2026, Southwest will modify its cabins to offer some rows with extra legroom and will update its ticketing process and merchandising to offer assigned seats and more fare categories, including a basic economy class that will more directly compete with other airlines' offerings and appear for the first time in travel aggregators' search results.
📊
146
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.71%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +3.24%
Worst: -3.08%
Trades: 73/72

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +4.33%
Worst: -4.95%
Trades: 68/77

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +6.00%
Worst: -4.48%
Trades: 68/76

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.2%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +6.11%
Worst: -5.86%
Trades: 63/77

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -1.84%
Best: +8.58%
Worst: -7.95%
Trades: 73/71

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.71%
Best MFE: +10.46%
Avg Time to MFE: 135 min

On average, LUV alerts reach +1.71% profit potential within 135 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.73%
Worst MAE: -3.49%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.73%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 146 alerts, LUV typically reaches +1.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 146
Gap Up % 40.4%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +2.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED

How LUV compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LUV: -0.01% Sector: -0.01% +0.00%
EOD Gain
LUV: -0.10% Sector: -0.10% -0.00%
Avg MFE
LUV: +1.71% Sector: +1.90% -0.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LUV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:27:13 $29.8 +0.20% -0.03% -0.23% - +0.44% +0.87% -1.71% +0.17% WIN
2025-01-30 09:29:43 $31.15 +2.83% +3.53% +6.00% +3.42% +0.35% +6.23% +0.30% +0.45% WIN
2025-01-16 09:29:58 $32.1 -0.95% -0.72% -1.65% -2.24% +0.19% +0.64% -2.80% +0.22% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:19 $33.03 -0.23% +1.12% -0.05% +0.03% +0.27% +1.67% -0.94% +0.06% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:28:26 $34.04 -1.51% -1.70% -1.75% -2.25% -1.41% -0.31% -2.44% -1.03% LOSS
2024-12-18 09:25:40 $32.81 +0.11% +2.22% +2.04% +2.19% -1.04% +2.77% -0.15% - WIN
2024-12-05 09:28:17 $35.27 +1.09% -2.04% -1.79% -0.62% -1.22% +2.41% -0.03% +0.54% WIN
2024-11-20 09:27:19 $32.24 -0.03% -0.96% -1.77% -1.94% -1.46% +0.25% -0.34% - LOSS
2024-11-18 09:28:56 $32.68 -0.34% -0.89% -1.87% -1.10% -1.07% +0.31% -0.32% -0.24% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:27:48 $31.44 +0.83% +1.08% -0.89% -0.41% -0.16% +1.46% -0.10% +0.13% WIN
2024-11-01 09:27:45 $30.76 +0.31% +0.42% -0.23% -0.16% -0.49% +0.91% -0.39% -0.07% WIN
2024-10-28 09:28:24 $29.95 +0.37% -0.50% -0.80% -0.97% +1.17% +1.64% -1.67% -0.03% WIN
2024-10-24 09:28:34 $30.34 -3.08% -1.32% -2.21% -3.16% -4.35% +1.38% +0.30% +0.69% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:25:28 $30.05 +2.11% +3.65% +4.13% +3.46% -0.40% +5.29% -0.17% +0.63% WIN
2024-09-03 09:28:58 $29.49 -0.46% -0.20% +0.51% +0.02% +0.31% +1.32% -0.95% +0.07% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:26:34 $25.54 -0.61% +0.47% +0.25% -0.12% -0.47% +0.84% -0.78% +0.31% LOSS
2024-08-09 09:25:48 $25.24 -0.20% -0.61% -0.50% +0.22% +0.36% +0.67% -0.89% -0.16% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:27:26 $23.83 -0.06% -0.29% +0.34% +1.97% -0.55% +2.69% -0.63% -0.25% LOSS
2024-07-25 09:27:19 $25.86 +2.36% +4.33% +4.95% +6.11% +8.58% +10.46% -0.35% +0.31% WIN
2024-07-12 09:25:50 $26.97 +0.39% +0.98% +0.35% +1.09% +2.08% +3.08% -0.26% -0.15% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LUV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.01% average gain, LUV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LUV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LUV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LUV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LUV historically offers an average upside of +1.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LUV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, LUV shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests LUV may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LUV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.01%). This suggests LUV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.