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UAL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 304 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-23

🏢 Company Profile

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED (SIC 4512)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 01, 1969 🔗 www.united.com
💰 Market Cap: $34.88B 👥 Employees: 111,300
Chicago-based United Airlines is a major US network carrier with hubs in San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Denver, Los Angeles, Newark, and Washington, D.C. United operates a hub-and-spoke system that is more focused on international and long-haul travel, especially across the Pacific, than its large US peers.
📊
304
Total Alerts
🎯
53.3%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +4.19%
Worst: -2.45%
Trades: 157/146

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -1.27%
Best: +5.58%
Worst: -4.54%
Trades: 159/143

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.40%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +6.56%
Worst: -5.90%
Trades: 156/147

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -1.69%
Best: +6.17%
Worst: -7.56%
Trades: 162/142

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.7%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +2.15%
Avg Loser: -2.14%
Best: +10.33%
Worst: -13.65%
Trades: 151/152

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.12%
Best MFE: +12.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 140 min

On average, UAL alerts reach +2.12% profit potential within 140 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.85%
Worst MAE: -4.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.85%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.5:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.5x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 304 alerts, UAL typically reaches +2.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 304
Gap Up % 46.1%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +1.01%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED

How UAL compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UAL: +0.09% Sector: -0.01% +0.10%
EOD Gain
UAL: -0.00% Sector: -0.10% +0.10%
Avg MFE
UAL: +2.12% Sector: +1.90% +0.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UAL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-23 09:25:44 $109.0 -1.84% -1.64% -1.68% -3.29% -5.50% +0.20% -0.18% -0.18% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:29:43 $115.8 -1.36% -3.20% -2.72% -5.15% -6.76% +0.17% -2.33% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:33 $109.16 -1.60% +0.72% -0.31% +0.26% -1.88% +1.61% -3.08% +0.28% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:29:27 $98.31 -0.82% -1.46% -1.98% -2.65% -0.10% +0.67% -3.06% - LOSS
2024-12-11 09:25:59 $97.0 +1.69% +2.54% +1.97% +1.39% +2.02% +3.35% +0.20% +0.20% WIN
2024-12-05 09:26:49 $101.51 +0.99% +1.05% +0.81% +1.33% +0.92% +3.53% -0.63% -0.18% WIN
2024-11-27 09:27:36 $96.98 -0.23% -0.76% -0.98% -1.49% -0.65% -0.03% -1.96% -0.48% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:28:21 $97.69 +3.66% +1.86% +1.65% +1.15% -1.21% +4.00% -0.24% +0.06% WIN
2024-11-22 09:27:29 $94.21 -0.57% -1.61% -1.92% -0.40% +1.09% +1.41% -2.26% -0.30% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:27:32 $90.8 +0.64% +1.05% +1.73% +1.48% +0.40% +2.79% -0.22% -0.06% WIN
2024-11-13 09:27:54 $90.18 +0.46% +1.59% +1.60% +1.59% -0.44% +2.33% -1.15% -0.12% WIN
2024-11-12 09:25:33 $88.15 +0.44% +0.75% +0.66% +0.33% +1.11% +1.24% -1.24% +0.29% WIN
2024-11-07 09:25:48 $86.82 -0.02% +0.39% +0.88% +0.78% -1.60% +1.17% -0.62% -0.28% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:29 $84.94 +0.72% +0.90% -0.21% +1.20% +3.11% +3.41% -0.75% +0.07% WIN
2024-11-01 09:25:42 $79.0 +0.32% +0.32% +0.71% +1.78% +1.85% +2.97% -0.27% +0.24% WIN
2024-10-28 09:25:26 $76.19 +1.22% +1.17% +1.16% +1.10% -0.13% +2.30% +0.39% +0.51% WIN
2024-10-25 09:26:01 $74.52 +1.02% +0.21% +0.29% +1.56% +0.16% +2.09% +0.13% +0.51% WIN
2024-10-21 09:27:03 $73.24 +0.25% +0.20% +0.78% +1.57% +1.04% +2.36% -0.91% +0.01% WIN
2024-10-17 09:27:50 $71.73 +0.63% +1.00% +1.99% +1.31% +2.23% +3.95% -0.20% +0.38% WIN
2024-10-16 09:26:48 $65.27 +4.19% +5.58% +6.56% +6.17% +10.33% +12.84% -0.41% +0.20% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.3% Baseline on UAL

The 53.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UAL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UAL Strategy →

Why Analyze UAL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UAL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UAL historically offers an average upside of +2.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UAL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.3%, UAL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UAL performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.