FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$UAL

Trade-Ideas alerts 52.4% at 15-min n=351 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED (SIC 4512)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 01, 1969 🔗 www.united.com
💰 Market Cap: $36.52B 👥 Employees: 117,500
Chicago-based United Airlines is a major US network carrier with hubs in San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Denver, Los Angeles, Newark, and Washington, D.C. United operates a hub-and-spoke system that is more focused on international and long-haul travel, especially across the Pacific, than its large US peers.
Total alerts
351
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
52.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.03%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.20%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading UAL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.1%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +4.19%
Worst: -2.45%
Trades: 183/167

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +5.58%
Worst: -4.54%
Trades: 184/165

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.9%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +6.56%
Worst: -5.90%
Trades: 175/175

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: +6.17%
Worst: -7.56%
Trades: 184/167

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.17%
Avg Loser: -2.09%
Best: +10.34%
Worst: -13.65%
Trades: 177/173

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.20%
Best MFE: +12.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 138 min

On average, UAL alerts reach +2.20% profit potential within 138 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.86%
Worst MAE: -4.96%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.86%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.56:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.56x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 351 alerts, UAL typically reaches +2.20% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 351
Gap Up % 47.0%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +1.31%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED

How UAL compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UAL: +0.11% Sector: -0.01% +0.12%
EOD Gain
UAL: +0.07% Sector: -0.05% +0.11%
Avg MFE
UAL: +2.20% Sector: +2.12% +0.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UAL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $114.1 +0.52% -1.14% -1.72% -2.01% -1.39% +0.93% +0.90% +0.57% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $113.12 +0.12% -0.08% -0.89% -0.73% -0.42% +1.08% -0.01% +0.49% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $111.16 -0.53% -1.73% -0.93% -0.39% +0.31% +1.88% -2.30% +0.75% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $117.5 -0.73% -0.31% -0.31% -0.97% -1.95% +0.65% -1.59% -0.77% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $111.9 -0.02% -0.33% -0.85% -0.11% +2.23% +2.46% -1.18% -0.09% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $109.56 +0.05% -1.11% -0.61% -0.89% -1.75% +0.22% -0.42% -0.15% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $108.78 +0.06% +0.68% +0.26% +0.43% +0.96% +1.83% -0.39% -0.21% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $105.1 -0.28% +0.37% +0.33% +2.19% +1.32% +2.65% -0.44% +0.37% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $108.6 +0.63% -0.12% -0.53% -1.08% +0.06% +0.92% +0.00% +0.37% WIN
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $106.2 +0.91% +0.30% +1.21% +2.89% +2.02% +3.46% -0.03% +0.56% WIN
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $106.34 -0.04% +0.94% +0.75% +0.70% -1.61% +1.29% -0.75% +0.42% LOSS
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $116.85 -0.19% -0.71% -1.24% -1.41% +0.48% +0.61% -2.60% -0.21% LOSS
2026-07-29 09:25:00 $120.8 -0.68% +0.53% +0.27% +0.95% -1.14% +2.36% -1.32% -0.60% LOSS
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $112.75 -0.52% +0.67% -0.12% +0.47% +2.30% +2.46% -1.00% -0.50% LOSS
2026-07-20 09:25:00 $116.8 +1.14% +0.16% -0.18% -0.05% +0.62% +1.88% -0.85% +0.27% WIN
2026-06-24 09:25:00 $124.38 +0.62% +1.42% +2.27% +3.74% +4.95% +5.00% -1.00% -0.14% WIN
2026-06-16 09:25:00 $121.32 +0.35% +0.67% -0.47% -0.69% -2.32% +1.40% -0.66% -0.37% WIN
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $120.16 +2.16% +2.04% +0.43% +0.03% -0.16% +3.85% -0.03% +0.61% WIN
2026-06-11 09:25:00 $102.06 +0.96% +1.65% +3.07% +2.26% +10.34% +10.53% -0.28% -0.11% WIN
2026-06-10 09:25:00 $107.25 -1.29% -0.79% -0.72% -1.01% -4.17% +0.00% +0.00% -0.57% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ UAL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.4% win rate, UAL has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making UAL profitable.

🔧 Fix UAL Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze UAL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UAL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UAL historically offers an average upside of +2.20% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UAL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.4%, UAL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.25%) outweigh average wins (+1.07%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: UAL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.03%). This suggests UAL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.