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DAL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 341 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-23

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 03, 1967 🔗 www.delta.com
💰 Market Cap: $44.38B 👥 Employees: 103,000
Atlanta-based Delta Air Lines is one of the world's largest airlines, with a network of over 300 destinations in more than 50 countries. Delta operates a hub-and-spoke network, where it gathers and distributes passengers across the globe through its biggest hubs in Atlanta, New York, Salt Lake City, Detroit, Seattle, and Minneapolis-St. Paul. Delta has historically earned most of its international revenue and profits from flying passengers over the Atlantic Ocean.
📊
341
Total Alerts
🎯
54.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.65%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.6%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.68%
Worst: -2.91%
Trades: 169/169

15MIN

Win Rate: 54.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +3.83%
Worst: -5.26%
Trades: 184/150

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +4.63%
Worst: -6.96%
Trades: 178/159

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.8%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +5.52%
Worst: -6.09%
Trades: 180/160

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.8%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.48%
Avg Loser: -1.74%
Best: +6.55%
Worst: -11.65%
Trades: 180/159

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.65%
Best MFE: +6.97%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, DAL alerts reach +1.65% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.66%
Worst MAE: -3.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.49:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.49x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 341 alerts, DAL typically reaches +1.65% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 341
Gap Up % 42.5%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +1.34%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED

How DAL compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DAL: +0.01% Sector: -0.01% +0.02%
EOD Gain
DAL: -0.03% Sector: -0.10% +0.07%
Avg MFE
DAL: +1.65% Sector: +1.90% -0.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DAL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-23 09:27:08 $67.9 - +0.47% -0.04% -0.21% -0.66% +1.12% +0.29% +0.43% -
2025-01-22 09:25:03 $69.76 -0.19% -0.57% -1.13% -2.54% -2.84% +0.32% -0.23% +0.01% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:05 $65.3 -0.26% +3.75% +4.47% +3.61% +2.53% +5.65% -1.31% -0.47% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:26:48 $59.78 +0.82% +1.24% +0.27% +1.30% +1.92% +3.45% +0.08% +0.08% WIN
2024-12-05 09:25:05 $66.26 +0.77% -0.39% -0.51% -0.42% -0.74% +1.87% -2.66% +0.57% WIN
2024-11-27 09:26:21 $64.22 -0.08% -0.76% -0.80% -1.26% -0.93% +0.28% -0.34% -0.23% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:29:55 $64.35 -0.19% +0.17% +0.68% +1.04% +0.22% +1.29% -0.59% -0.03% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:27:47 $63.94 -0.14% -1.08% -3.10% -3.00% -0.47% +1.74% -3.57% +0.25% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:25:54 $60.55 +1.39% +1.50% +0.47% +2.46% +2.92% +3.48% -0.36% -0.08% WIN
2024-10-31 09:29:46 $58.26 +0.58% +1.17% +1.10% -0.33% -1.79% +1.42% -0.12% +0.07% WIN
2024-10-28 09:29:08 $55.37 +0.90% +1.48% +1.12% +1.12% +0.02% +2.29% - +0.23% WIN
2024-10-15 09:26:52 $53.98 +0.04% -0.57% -0.93% -1.40% -2.32% +0.57% -0.70% -0.26% WIN
2024-10-10 09:27:38 $50.39 -2.02% -1.71% -0.14% +0.76% -0.20% +2.20% -0.75% +0.24% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:29:48 $49.77 +2.68% +3.42% +3.64% +2.88% +4.10% +4.46% -0.22% +0.46% WIN
2024-09-12 09:25:01 $46.81 -0.85% -3.55% -6.96% -6.09% -5.43% +0.02% -0.02% -1.13% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:27:59 $37.53 +0.48% +0.16% +0.27% +1.81% +1.07% +3.20% -1.01% -0.05% WIN
2024-07-25 09:26:35 $42.84 -0.61% +0.86% +1.12% +1.68% +1.47% +2.70% -0.77% -0.23% LOSS
2024-07-11 09:27:54 $43.06 -1.63% +0.58% +0.36% +1.90% +4.48% +4.51% -2.07% -0.12% LOSS
2024-06-21 09:29:29 $49.52 -1.48% -0.83% -0.79% -0.30% -0.28% +0.16% -1.63% +0.08% LOSS
2024-05-29 09:27:39 $48.53 +0.43% +0.74% +1.20% +1.96% +2.82% +3.03% -0.52% +0.82% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DAL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 54.0% win rate, DAL has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making DAL profitable.

🔧 Fix DAL Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze DAL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DAL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DAL historically offers an average upside of +1.65% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DAL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.0%, DAL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.03%) outweigh average wins (+0.80%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DAL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.02%). This suggests DAL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.