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AEO Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 26 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-11 → 2025-01-13
⚠️ Small sample size (26 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AEO alerts reach +3.63% profit potential within 62 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.08%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.35x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 26 alerts, AEO typically reaches +3.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES
How AEO compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AEO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | 09:26:32 | $17.1 | -4.82% | -8.07% | -8.10% | -9.12% | -9.42% | +1.17% | +0.53% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-05 | 09:29:00 | $17.3 | +2.28% | +2.37% | +2.89% | +2.08% | +1.79% | +4.62% | -2.08% | - | WIN |
| 2024-08-29 | 09:26:50 | $20.01 | -0.40% | -2.32% | -1.02% | +1.15% | +3.85% | +7.40% | -3.17% | -1.55% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-09 | 09:28:28 | $19.75 | +0.25% | +0.66% | +0.46% | +1.14% | +2.13% | +3.59% | +0.03% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-03-07 | 09:27:23 | $26.3 | -3.84% | -2.56% | -3.12% | -6.27% | -12.55% | +1.37% | +1.03% | -0.68% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-21 | 09:29:00 | $16.52 | +1.45% | -1.66% | -2.00% | -0.76% | +0.67% | +2.12% | -3.63% | -1.63% | WIN |
| 2023-09-07 | 09:29:00 | $17.43 | -0.11% | -3.10% | -2.55% | -2.70% | -3.79% | +0.57% | -1.15% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-08-03 | 09:27:00 | $15.35 | -4.63% | -5.08% | -5.50% | -5.83% | -3.19% | +0.65% | +0.07% | -0.07% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-25 | 09:25:00 | $10.38 | -3.32% | +1.96% | +0.67% | -3.47% | +2.41% | +5.30% | -4.14% | -2.79% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-24 | 09:27:00 | $12.24 | -0.25% | -2.12% | -2.94% | -3.06% | -1.39% | +2.12% | -0.49% | +1.31% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-02 | 09:28:00 | $14.0 | +5.16% | +2.63% | +3.96% | +3.82% | +2.14% | +7.14% | - | +2.36% | WIN |
| 2022-11-22 | 09:25:00 | $14.15 | -1.27% | +4.95% | +5.37% | +6.40% | +8.55% | +9.26% | -1.63% | -0.99% | LOSS |
| 2022-09-08 | 09:25:00 | $10.15 | +0.01% | +0.94% | +3.35% | +3.74% | +4.24% | +6.65% | -2.07% | -0.74% | WIN |
| 2022-08-25 | 09:25:00 | $11.74 | +1.53% | +2.30% | +4.51% | +7.54% | +4.34% | +8.26% | - | +1.36% | WIN |
| 2022-08-09 | 09:25:00 | $12.57 | -0.04% | -2.47% | -4.06% | -5.17% | -8.59% | +0.16% | -0.84% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2022-07-26 | 09:25:00 | $10.9 | +0.37% | +1.28% | +1.10% | +1.05% | +0.83% | +2.84% | +0.28% | +0.83% | WIN |
| 2022-05-31 | 09:25:00 | $12.55 | -1.43% | -5.10% | -5.10% | -2.95% | -3.51% | - | -0.40% | -1.75% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-27 | 09:25:00 | $12.49 | +1.12% | +4.64% | +8.33% | +6.97% | +4.80% | +9.45% | -0.48% | +1.12% | WIN |
| 2022-05-26 | 09:25:00 | $13.87 | +1.08% | +2.49% | +3.14% | +2.23% | +1.08% | +3.28% | +0.07% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2022-05-24 | 09:25:00 | $12.15 | +0.99% | -0.04% | - | -1.98% | -0.33% | +1.73% | -0.82% | +0.08% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AEO Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 53.8% win rate, AEO has -0.16% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making AEO profitable.
🔧 Fix AEO Risk/Reward →Why Analyze AEO with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AEO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AEO historically offers an average upside of +3.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AEO Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 53.8%, AEO shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.85%) outweigh average wins (+1.29%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AEO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.16%). This suggests AEO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.