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AN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-28 → 2022-07-18

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 09, 1951 🔗 www.autonation.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.77B 👥 Employees: 25,100
AutoNation is the second-largest automotive dealer in the United States, with 2024 revenue of about $27 billion and over 240 dealerships, plus 52 collision centers. The firm also has 26 AutoNation USA used-vehicle stores, a captive lender, four auction sites, and three parts distributors across 20 states primarily in Sunbelt metropolitan areas. New-vehicle sales account for nearly half of revenue; the company also sells used vehicles, parts, and repair services as well as auto financing. The company (formerly Republic Industries) divested its waste management unit (Republic Services) in 1999 and its car rental businesses (ANC Rental) in 2000. Wayne Huizenga founded the company in the 1990s to bring the rollup acquisition strategy to auto retailing, which has proved to be a smart move.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.28%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.50%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.16%
Best: +0.43%
Worst: -0.16%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.28%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.38%
Worst: +1.19%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.96%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.15%
Worst: +1.78%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.11%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.74%
Worst: +0.47%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.18%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +1.18%
Worst: -0.98%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.50%
Best MFE: +2.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 103 min

On average, AN alerts reach +2.50% profit potential within 103 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.07%
Worst MAE: -0.16%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.07%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

36.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 36.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, AN typically reaches +2.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.17%
Best Gap +0.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS

How AN compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AN: +0.13% Sector: -0.27% +0.40%
EOD Gain
AN: +0.10% Sector: +3463.44% -3463.34%
Avg MFE
AN: +2.50% Sector: +5.90% -3.41%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-07-18 09:25:00 $115.78 -0.16% +1.38% +1.78% +1.74% +1.18% +2.84% -0.16% -0.08% LOSS
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $116.96 +0.43% +1.19% +2.15% +0.47% -0.98% +2.15% +0.03% +0.43% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on AN

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AN Strategy →

Why Analyze AN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AN historically offers an average upside of +2.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, AN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AN performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.28%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.