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APPS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 76 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (76 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Digital Turbine, Inc. PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS (SIC 6794)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 24, 1995 🔗 www.digitalturbine.com
💰 Market Cap: $591.0M 👥 Employees: 647
Digital Turbine Inc is an independent mobile growth platform. It offers end-to-end products and solutions to all participants in the mobile application ecosystem, enabling brand discovery and advertising, user acquisition and engagement, and operational efficiency for advertisers. Its operating segments are On Device Solutions and App Growth Platform.
📊
76
Total Alerts
🎯
55.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+2.09%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.10%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.4%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +2.13%
Avg Loser: -1.77%
Best: +14.40%
Worst: -6.66%
Trades: 33/43

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +3.77%
Avg Loser: -2.68%
Best: +18.89%
Worst: -7.95%
Trades: 36/40

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: +1.02%
Avg Winner: +5.40%
Avg Loser: -3.13%
Best: +31.74%
Worst: -10.34%
Trades: 37/39

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: +1.25%
Avg Winner: +5.98%
Avg Loser: -3.24%
Best: +33.01%
Worst: -13.55%
Trades: 37/39

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.3%
Avg Gain: +2.09%
Avg Winner: +8.55%
Avg Loser: -5.90%
Best: +58.41%
Worst: -18.89%
Trades: 42/34

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.10%
Best MFE: +62.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 141 min

On average, APPS alerts reach +7.10% profit potential within 141 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.04%
Worst MAE: -10.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.47:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.47x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 76 alerts, APPS typically reaches +7.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 76
Gap Up % 39.5%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +1.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS

How APPS compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
APPS: -0.08% Sector: +0.28% -0.36%
EOD Gain
APPS: +2.09% Sector: +167.77% -165.68%
Avg MFE
APPS: +7.10% Sector: +9.02% -1.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical APPS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:21 $6.57 +1.90% -0.15% -0.61% -0.30% -5.78% +3.50% +0.15% +0.30% WIN
2025-02-13 09:28:05 $6.4 -0.18% +4.23% +2.66% -0.31% +1.88% +7.19% -2.81% -0.62% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:01 $5.17 +3.96% +7.93% +11.99% +9.28% +18.76% +23.79% +1.55% +1.93% WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:28 $5.18 -0.18% +1.23% +9.14% +5.93% +5.21% +10.14% -0.19% +1.74% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:45 $4.85 +0.82% -1.67% -3.61% +0.18% +10.93% +13.40% -5.15% +1.03% WIN
2025-02-07 09:26:05 $4.71 -1.91% -4.99% +4.03% +9.24% +4.03% +10.40% -6.58% -1.49% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:25:32 $3.15 +8.89% +18.89% +31.74% +33.01% +58.41% +62.86% -0.95% +1.59% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:54 $2.4 -0.62% +1.64% +2.08% +2.92% -1.25% +4.17% -2.08% -0.42% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:29:21 $1.92 -6.25% -7.03% -8.85% -6.74% -7.29% +1.04% -3.65% -0.52% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:25:01 $1.6 -1.26% -2.50% -2.19% -2.19% +9.38% +11.25% -5.00% -1.88% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:27:20 $1.32 -3.03% -4.55% -5.30% -2.27% -5.30% - -1.14% -0.76% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:28:36 $1.37 -2.55% -3.65% -5.11% -2.55% -4.38% +2.92% -5.84% -1.46% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:26:59 $1.52 +3.12% -0.33% -0.31% -0.99% -7.89% +4.60% - - WIN
2024-11-13 09:25:52 $1.42 -0.35% -0.35% -0.35% -1.41% +4.93% +7.04% -2.11% - LOSS
2024-11-12 09:26:27 $1.43 -4.90% -3.50% -2.97% -2.45% -4.90% -0.01% -0.70% -1.40% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:26:48 $1.54 -0.97% -2.27% -5.19% -5.19% -9.42% +1.95% -1.95% -0.65% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:26:16 $1.8 +0.28% -2.26% -5.01% -7.22% -18.89% +0.56% - +0.56% WIN
2024-11-07 09:25:33 $2.03 -3.59% -7.95% -10.34% -13.55% -11.82% +0.49% -0.49% -5.91% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:26:13 $2.8 +3.58% +7.50% +11.43% +15.32% +16.07% +22.14% +0.36% +0.36% WIN
2024-08-12 09:25:48 $3.21 -3.12% -3.12% -6.07% -3.58% -12.46% +1.25% -2.18% +0.31% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.3% Baseline on APPS

The 55.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push APPS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize APPS Strategy →

Why Analyze APPS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for APPS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, APPS historically offers an average upside of +7.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 APPS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.3%, APPS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show APPS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.