FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

AXP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 26 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-25 → 2025-01-24

⚠️ Small sample size (26 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

American Express Company FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.americanexpress.com
💰 Market Cap: $249.15B 👥 Employees: 75,100
American Express is a global financial institution, operating in about 130 countries, that provides consumers and businesses charge and credit card payment products. The company also operates a highly profitable merchant payment network. It operates in four segments: US consumer services, US commercial services, international card services, and global merchant and network services. In addition to payment products, the company's commercial business offers expense management tools, consulting services, and business loans.
📊
26
Total Alerts
🎯
57.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.30%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.6%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +1.95%
Worst: -3.83%
Trades: 9/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 34.6%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +2.18%
Worst: -3.51%
Trades: 9/16

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.6%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +2.65%
Worst: -3.41%
Trades: 9/17

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: +2.76%
Worst: -4.58%
Trades: 10/16

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.7%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.82%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +4.97%
Worst: -4.35%
Trades: 15/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.66%
Best MFE: +5.49%
Avg Time to MFE: 170 min

On average, AXP alerts reach +1.66% profit potential within 170 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.01%
Worst MAE: -3.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.64:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 26 alerts, AXP typically reaches +1.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 26
Gap Up % 38.5%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +1.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How AXP compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AXP: -0.24% Sector: -0.22% -0.02%
EOD Gain
AXP: +0.30% Sector: +101.11% -100.81%
Avg MFE
AXP: +1.66% Sector: +5.23% -3.57%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AXP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-24 09:26:48 $323.04 -0.31% -1.39% -1.74% -2.08% -0.53% +0.44% -0.86% +0.42% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:29:48 $275.5 -1.45% -0.79% -2.01% -1.44% +0.47% +1.34% -2.34% +0.47% LOSS
2024-07-19 09:26:34 $239.4 +0.14% +0.68% -0.31% -0.28% +1.24% +1.66% -0.73% +1.00% WIN
2024-05-01 09:26:34 $233.53 +0.42% +0.29% -0.22% -0.22% -0.89% +0.69% -0.31% -0.13% WIN
2024-04-19 09:29:57 $220.1 +1.95% +2.18% +1.96% +2.13% +4.97% +5.22% -0.57% -0.57% WIN
2023-12-13 09:28:00 $171.58 -0.46% -0.75% -0.51% -0.19% +1.74% +1.80% -0.84% -0.22% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:27:00 $171.25 +0.53% +0.08% -0.41% -0.71% -2.18% +0.66% -0.06% +0.28% WIN
2023-10-20 09:29:00 $146.3 +0.73% -0.01% -0.78% -1.93% -3.23% +1.12% -2.04% -1.09% WIN
2023-10-02 09:26:00 $148.9 -0.24% - -0.10% +0.52% +0.39% +0.67% -0.56% -0.32% LOSS
2023-07-27 09:27:00 $168.68 -0.43% -0.28% -0.41% -0.69% -3.01% -0.08% -0.55% -0.09% LOSS
2023-07-24 09:25:00 $167.9 +0.20% -0.09% +0.21% +0.01% -0.07% +0.66% -0.52% -0.18% WIN
2023-07-21 09:26:00 $172.2 -1.07% -1.18% -2.25% -1.81% -1.15% +0.73% -0.25% -0.02% LOSS
2023-04-20 09:28:00 $160.21 -3.83% -1.69% -0.94% -0.18% +1.92% +2.21% -3.87% -0.76% LOSS
2023-01-27 09:25:00 $166.4 -0.36% +2.07% +2.65% +2.76% +3.55% +5.49% -0.54% +0.24% LOSS
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $153.25 +0.09% +0.28% +0.09% +0.41% +0.42% +1.23% -0.41% +0.48% WIN
2022-10-21 09:25:00 $140.0 -1.14% -3.51% -3.41% -4.58% +0.03% +0.94% -1.74% +0.71% LOSS
2022-07-22 09:25:00 $159.97 -0.54% -0.80% -1.80% -1.90% -4.35% +0.57% -0.73% -0.60% LOSS
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $179.99 -0.55% -0.04% +0.07% -0.35% +2.28% +2.37% -1.11% -0.01% LOSS
2022-04-22 09:25:00 $183.87 +0.79% -0.80% +0.71% -0.24% -1.81% +0.91% -1.56% +0.85% WIN
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $191.08 +0.69% +1.13% +1.09% +0.46% +0.66% +1.61% -0.08% +0.62% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 57.7% Baseline on AXP

The 57.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AXP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AXP Strategy →

Why Analyze AXP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AXP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AXP historically offers an average upside of +1.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AXP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.7%, AXP shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AXP performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.30%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.