Latest signal:
BJ Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-03 → 2024-11-21
⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, BJ alerts reach +2.95% profit potential within 69 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.22%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.41x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, BJ typically reaches +2.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-VARIETY STORES
How BJ compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical BJ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-21 | 09:29:06 | $89.99 | -3.54% | -3.32% | +0.25% | +1.91% | +3.11% | +5.20% | -5.12% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-22 | 09:27:40 | $82.94 | -1.69% | -2.72% | -1.78% | -1.25% | -1.54% | +0.66% | -1.42% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-17 | 09:25:00 | $64.25 | +0.96% | +2.74% | +1.31% | +2.16% | +0.16% | +5.21% | -0.30% | +0.78% | WIN |
| 2023-08-22 | 09:26:00 | $68.75 | -0.29% | +0.36% | -0.70% | -1.59% | -3.77% | +2.14% | -0.30% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-20 | 09:25:00 | $63.83 | +0.13% | -0.63% | -0.44% | +0.03% | +0.49% | +0.95% | -0.99% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2023-05-23 | 09:28:00 | $65.21 | -0.30% | +0.51% | -1.38% | +0.35% | -1.01% | +1.82% | -1.07% | +0.76% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-09 | 09:26:00 | $77.05 | +0.98% | +1.82% | +0.57% | +0.77% | -1.28% | +2.38% | - | +1.00% | WIN |
| 2022-11-17 | 09:25:00 | $76.75 | -5.62% | -2.38% | -4.51% | -4.81% | -3.57% | - | -0.72% | -6.19% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-18 | 09:25:00 | $75.6 | +0.41% | -3.27% | -1.04% | -1.28% | -2.00% | +2.47% | -0.57% | +0.34% | WIN |
| 2022-05-19 | 09:25:00 | $56.95 | -0.14% | -1.26% | +1.91% | +2.55% | +0.77% | +5.67% | -1.51% | -0.04% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-03 | 09:25:00 | $56.05 | +1.02% | +3.73% | +2.50% | +0.57% | +2.00% | +5.89% | -1.43% | +0.54% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ BJ Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 63.6% win rate, BJ has -0.05% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making BJ profitable.
🔧 Fix BJ Risk/Reward →Why Analyze BJ with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BJ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, BJ historically offers an average upside of +2.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 BJ Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 63.6%, BJ shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.23%) outweigh average wins (+1.19%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: BJ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.05%). This suggests BJ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.