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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$COST

Trade-Ideas alerts 56.2% at 30-min n=105 2022-01-13 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Costco Wholesale Corp RETAIL-VARIETY STORES (SIC 5331)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 02, 1982 🔗 www.costco.com
💰 Market Cap: $408.09B 👥 Employees: 341,000
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 940 warehouses, serving more than 84 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (92% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
Total alerts
105
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
56.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
+0.05%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.14%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading COST on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.36%
Best: +1.02%
Worst: -1.45%
Trades: 47/58

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +2.90%
Worst: -3.50%
Trades: 51/54

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +3.51%
Worst: -3.64%
Trades: 59/46

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +3.24%
Worst: -4.29%
Trades: 58/47

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.19%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +3.92%
Worst: -6.77%
Trades: 54/51

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.14%
Best MFE: +4.19%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, COST alerts reach +1.14% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.44%
Worst MAE: -2.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.63:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.63x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 105 alerts, COST typically reaches +1.14% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 105
Gap Up % 41.0%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +0.53%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-VARIETY STORES

How COST compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
COST: -0.03% Sector: -0.02% -0.02%
EOD Gain
COST: -0.07% Sector: -5.46% +5.39%
Avg MFE
COST: +1.14% Sector: +1.58% -0.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical COST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $918.36 -0.15% -0.29% -0.47% -0.77% +0.25% +0.40% +0.18% +0.31% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $887.92 -0.23% +2.60% +3.30% +3.24% +3.92% +4.19% -0.54% -0.10% LOSS
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $939.78 -0.15% +0.29% +0.58% +0.79% +0.61% +1.48% -0.29% -0.09% LOSS
2026-08-21 09:25:00 $936.17 +0.21% +0.57% +0.59% +1.26% +1.24% +1.47% -0.25% +0.37% WIN
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $936.35 -1.02% +0.12% +0.30% +0.23% -0.30% +0.84% -1.13% -0.56% LOSS
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $941.4 +0.31% +0.49% +0.40% +0.11% +1.21% +1.22% -0.09% +0.11% WIN
2026-08-03 09:25:00 $962.8 +0.33% -0.31% +0.01% -0.90% -0.91% +0.54% +0.20% +0.24% WIN
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $936.06 -0.59% -1.99% -2.10% -2.14% -2.47% +0.11% -0.11% -0.12% LOSS
2026-06-25 09:25:00 $952.15 -0.25% -0.03% +0.23% -0.42% -1.04% +0.38% -0.64% -0.27% LOSS
2026-06-23 09:25:00 $965.38 -0.40% -0.57% -0.73% -0.88% -0.80% +0.16% -0.45% -0.09% LOSS
2026-06-18 09:25:00 $960.7 -0.29% -0.43% -1.06% -0.76% -0.96% +0.34% -0.32% +0.21% LOSS
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $978.0 -0.41% -0.08% -0.23% +0.26% +0.15% +0.92% -1.02% -0.39% LOSS
2026-06-04 09:25:00 $986.46 +0.08% -0.38% +0.04% +0.11% -1.43% +0.36% -0.45% +0.05% WIN
2026-05-29 09:25:00 $987.45 +0.98% -1.84% -3.64% -2.91% -3.15% +1.15% -0.25% -0.09% WIN
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $1013.12 -0.38% -0.82% -0.76% -0.97% -1.71% +0.20% +0.08% -0.18% LOSS
2026-05-05 09:25:00 $1009.5 +0.05% +0.16% +0.53% +0.44% +0.69% +1.12% -0.04% +0.10% WIN
2026-04-20 09:25:00 $1000.06 +0.69% +0.80% +0.70% +0.56% -0.22% +1.12% +0.05% +0.38% WIN
2026-04-02 09:25:00 $1004.0 -0.25% +0.71% +0.50% +0.23% +1.09% +1.20% -0.48% +0.40% LOSS
2026-03-06 09:25:00 $976.0 -1.25% +0.56% +0.68% +1.85% +2.26% +2.72% -1.59% -0.92% LOSS
2026-03-05 09:25:00 $996.5 -0.32% +0.04% -0.62% -1.15% -1.40% +0.36% +0.28% +0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 56.2% Baseline on COST

The 56.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push COST's performance to 75%+.

Optimize COST Strategy →

Why Analyze COST with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, COST historically offers an average upside of +1.14% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 COST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.2%, COST shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show COST performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.