Latest signal:
COST Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 75 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-13 → 2025-02-12
⚠️ Small sample size (75 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, COST alerts reach +1.13% profit potential within 155 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.46%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.46x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 75 alerts, COST typically reaches +1.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-VARIETY STORES
How COST compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical COST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-12 | 09:29:37 | $1052.64 | +0.23% | +0.87% | +0.48% | +0.23% | +1.19% | +1.36% | -0.16% | +0.14% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:27:29 | $1060.73 | -0.60% | -0.40% | -0.32% | -0.23% | -0.23% | +0.50% | -0.72% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:28:40 | $960.9 | -0.11% | -0.24% | -0.26% | -0.36% | +0.32% | +0.77% | -0.61% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:29:58 | $962.18 | -0.27% | +0.03% | -0.12% | -0.43% | -0.36% | +0.37% | -0.84% | -0.04% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:29:42 | $931.42 | -0.02% | -0.02% | +0.45% | +1.19% | +3.63% | +3.82% | -0.46% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-13 | 09:29:55 | $980.0 | -0.20% | +2.23% | +2.25% | +1.39% | +0.95% | +2.72% | -1.46% | +0.10% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-12 | 09:29:29 | $1003.12 | -0.26% | -0.40% | -0.58% | -0.27% | -1.47% | -0.06% | -0.36% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-11 | 09:25:47 | $947.7 | -0.25% | -0.04% | +0.19% | -0.81% | -1.56% | +0.38% | -0.60% | -0.41% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-23 | 09:29:08 | $896.02 | +0.31% | +0.39% | +0.53% | +0.87% | +0.35% | +1.08% | -0.11% | - | WIN |
| 2024-07-31 | 09:25:35 | $820.0 | -0.50% | -0.37% | -0.80% | -0.30% | +0.24% | +0.67% | -1.06% | +0.05% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-22 | 09:29:24 | $845.99 | -0.15% | -0.03% | +0.02% | +0.16% | +0.17% | +0.43% | -0.47% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-19 | 09:29:37 | $836.84 | +0.87% | +0.89% | +0.69% | +0.76% | +0.15% | +1.44% | -0.04% | -0.04% | WIN |
| 2024-07-18 | 09:28:41 | $845.39 | +0.46% | +0.99% | +0.77% | +0.62% | -0.71% | +1.17% | +0.32% | +0.48% | WIN |
| 2024-07-11 | 09:28:28 | $891.74 | -0.61% | -1.51% | -2.05% | -4.29% | -5.06% | -0.11% | -1.10% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-29 | 09:28:40 | $809.25 | +0.14% | +0.34% | +0.22% | +0.37% | -0.34% | +0.52% | -0.28% | -0.28% | WIN |
| 2024-04-18 | 09:26:12 | $713.93 | +0.36% | +0.59% | +0.51% | +0.60% | -0.38% | +0.70% | +0.18% | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2024-04-11 | 09:28:44 | $731.0 | -0.75% | -0.29% | -0.33% | -0.66% | +0.18% | +0.38% | -0.94% | +0.07% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-12 | 09:29:39 | $717.65 | +0.33% | +0.95% | +2.16% | +2.05% | +2.68% | +3.12% | -0.10% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2024-03-11 | 09:28:17 | $719.5 | -0.47% | -0.08% | -0.82% | -0.98% | -0.75% | +0.21% | +0.06% | +0.04% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:28:44 | $757.98 | -1.45% | -1.64% | -1.58% | -2.24% | -4.28% | -0.13% | -0.25% | -0.25% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ COST Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 53.3% win rate, COST has -0.12% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making COST profitable.
🔧 Fix COST Risk/Reward →Why Analyze COST with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, COST historically offers an average upside of +1.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 COST Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 53.3%, COST shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.53%) outweigh average wins (+1.12%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: COST shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.12%). This suggests COST is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.