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BLMN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-26 → 2023-08-18

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock RETAIL-EATING PLACES (SIC 5812)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 08, 2012 🔗 www.bloominbrands.com
💰 Market Cap: $657.0M 👥 Employees: 81,000
Bloomin Brands Inc operates as a casual dining restaurant company. The company's brand includes Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse and Wine Bar. The company owns and operates its restaurants, and the remainder is franchised. It derives revenue mainly from the United States, but the company has a presence in Brazil and South Korea with company-owned Outbacks and Carrabba's. In addition, it also has exposure to several countries, predominantly in Asia, principally through franchising. The Company aggregates its operating segments into two reportable segments, U.S. and international. The U.S. segment includes all restaurants operating in the U.S., while restaurants operating outside the U.S. are included in the international segment.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.35%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.98%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +1.18%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +1.31%
Worst: -0.95%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +0.77%
Worst: -1.62%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +1.34%
Worst: -0.67%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.52%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +2.00%
Worst: -0.81%
Trades: 3/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.08%
Avg Winner: +3.24%
Avg Loser: -1.08%
Best: +4.88%
Worst: -1.62%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.98%
Best MFE: +5.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 129 min

On average, BLMN alerts reach +2.98% profit potential within 129 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.94%
Worst MAE: -2.09%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.94%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, BLMN typically reaches +2.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +0.77%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES

How BLMN compares to 27 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BLMN: +0.35% Sector: -0.12% +0.47%
EOD Gain
BLMN: +1.08% Sector: +6.34% -5.26%
Avg MFE
BLMN: +2.98% Sector: +2.99% -0.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BLMN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-18 09:28:00 $27.41 +1.31% -0.15% +0.60% +0.18% +1.61% +2.69% -0.66% -0.15% WIN
2023-05-17 09:26:00 $23.98 -0.02% +0.33% +0.13% +0.71% +4.88% +5.21% -2.09% -0.42% LOSS
2023-01-05 09:29:00 $20.96 -0.95% -1.62% -0.67% -0.81% -1.62% - -1.00% -0.76% LOSS
2022-10-26 09:25:00 $22.03 +1.04% +0.77% +1.34% +2.00% -0.54% +3.99% - +0.77% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on BLMN

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BLMN's performance to 75%+.

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Why Analyze BLMN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BLMN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BLMN historically offers an average upside of +2.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BLMN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, BLMN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BLMN performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.35%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.