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BTBT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 400 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Bit Digital, Inc. Ordinary Shares FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 20, 2018 🔗 www.bit-digital.com
💰 Market Cap: $683.0M 👥 Employees: 54
Bit Digital Inc is engaged in the Bitcoin mining business, Ethereum staking activities and specialized cloud-infrastructure services for artificial intelligence applications through its wholly owned subsidiaries. Its mining platform operates with the primary intent of accumulating bitcoin which may sell for fiat currency from time to time depending on market conditions. The Company has four reportable segments: digital asset mining, cloud services, colocation services, and ETH Staking. It generates majority of its revenue from digital asset mining.
📊
400
Total Alerts
🎯
46.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.36%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.62%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.0%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.46%
Avg Loser: -1.37%
Best: +8.55%
Worst: -6.75%
Trades: 136/236

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.8%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +2.18%
Avg Loser: -2.10%
Best: +9.05%
Worst: -10.71%
Trades: 167/221

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -2.79%
Best: +13.03%
Worst: -10.48%
Trades: 184/212

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +2.96%
Avg Loser: -3.33%
Best: +14.34%
Worst: -11.29%
Trades: 185/208

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +4.77%
Avg Loser: -5.07%
Best: +24.36%
Worst: -19.12%
Trades: 176/211

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.62%
Best MFE: +27.10%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, BTBT alerts reach +4.62% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.18%
Worst MAE: -12.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.18%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.11:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.11x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 400 alerts, BTBT typically reaches +4.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 400
Gap Up % 28.5%
Avg Gap -0.25%
Best Gap +3.10%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How BTBT compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BTBT: -0.31% Sector: -0.22% -0.10%
EOD Gain
BTBT: -0.58% Sector: +101.11% -101.68%
Avg MFE
BTBT: +4.62% Sector: +5.23% -0.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BTBT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:15 $3.16 +0.96% -0.35% -0.79% -0.32% -1.27% +1.26% -0.32% -0.16% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:46 $3.05 -2.13% -1.64% -0.98% +1.15% +3.28% +3.28% -3.28% +0.33% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:13 $2.89 +0.33% +3.43% +2.49% +2.39% +6.57% +6.92% -1.38% -0.69% WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:12 $3.0 -1.67% -0.00% +0.92% +1.83% -3.00% +3.17% -2.33% +0.50% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:05 $3.13 -0.80% -1.92% -2.72% -2.15% -2.24% +0.32% - +0.32% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:11 $3.17 +3.56% +2.05% +1.58% - -2.52% +4.89% -0.32% -0.32% WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:48 $3.19 +1.30% +0.78% -0.32% -0.31% -2.82% +3.13% +0.63% +0.94% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:37 $3.19 +0.31% -0.16% -0.78% +0.31% +1.25% +2.19% -2.35% -0.63% WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:25 $2.88 +0.87% +1.74% +3.70% +7.62% +10.42% +13.54% -1.39% - WIN
2025-01-31 09:25:16 $3.28 -0.46% -0.15% -0.46% +0.46% -3.96% +2.13% -1.83% -0.61% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:55 $3.16 +2.82% +2.85% +2.53% +1.90% +2.85% +5.06% -1.27% -0.63% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:44 $2.97 - -0.32% +1.18% +1.68% +2.69% +4.04% -1.68% - -
2025-01-28 09:29:58 $3.18 -3.80% -4.25% -3.14% -2.20% -6.29% - -1.26% -0.31% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:10 $3.44 -2.62% -2.78% +0.15% -2.67% -9.59% +0.73% -3.78% - LOSS
2025-01-24 09:25:41 $3.76 -1.05% -2.66% -1.85% +1.46% -1.86% +3.46% -3.19% -1.06% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:59 $3.58 +3.49% +3.86% +5.03% +5.87% +1.96% +9.49% -1.12% -0.28% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:24 $3.64 +1.79% +0.01% +0.24% -3.31% +1.92% +3.02% -0.82% - WIN
2025-01-21 09:28:24 $3.69 +0.27% -2.74% -2.19% -3.12% +0.27% +2.44% -4.74% +0.54% WIN
2025-01-17 09:29:58 $3.79 -0.80% -1.32% -0.13% -1.06% -2.90% +2.37% -3.17% - LOSS
2025-01-16 09:26:56 $3.64 -0.69% -0.96% -3.16% -1.10% -0.27% +1.37% -1.10% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BTBT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 46.2% win rate and -0.36% average gain, BTBT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BTBT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BTBT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BTBT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BTBT historically offers an average upside of +4.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BTBT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.2%, BTBT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BTBT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BTBT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.36%). This suggests BTBT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.