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Latest signal:

BTM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-03 → 2024-12-05

⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Bitcoin Depot Inc. Class A Common Stock FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 03, 2023 🔗 www.bitcoindepot.com
💰 Market Cap: $87.8M 👥 Employees: 126
Bitcoin Depot Inc owns and operates the widest network of BTMs across North America where customers can buy and sell Bitcoin. Bitcoin Depot helps power the digital economy for users of cash. It has locations across the U.S. and Canada at, among others, the following types of retailers: Convenience Stores and Gas Station Chains, Pharmacies and Grocers and Mall Operators.
📊
17
Total Alerts
🎯
41.2%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.55%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+12.32%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +3.18%
Avg Loser: -2.52%
Best: +7.77%
Worst: -6.22%
Trades: 5/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +3.21%
Avg Loser: -3.18%
Best: +7.43%
Worst: -7.42%
Trades: 7/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -1.68%
Avg Winner: +3.97%
Avg Loser: -5.24%
Best: +8.14%
Worst: -9.75%
Trades: 6/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: -2.78%
Avg Winner: +5.21%
Avg Loser: -6.11%
Best: +9.77%
Worst: -17.01%
Trades: 5/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 31.2%
Avg Gain: -1.56%
Avg Winner: +12.91%
Avg Loser: -8.14%
Best: +32.67%
Worst: -17.33%
Trades: 5/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.32%
Best MFE: +74.26%
Avg Time to MFE: 106 min

On average, BTM alerts reach +12.32% profit potential within 106 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.78%
Worst MAE: -11.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.78%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, BTM typically reaches +12.32% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 35.3%
Avg Gap +0.25%
Best Gap +5.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How BTM compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BTM: -0.67% Sector: -0.22% -0.46%
EOD Gain
BTM: -1.56% Sector: +101.11% -102.67%
Avg MFE
BTM: +12.77% Sector: +5.23% +7.55%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BTM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-05 09:26:13 $1.93 +7.77% +3.63% -1.30% -5.15% -7.25% +9.84% - +2.59% WIN
2024-12-04 09:25:27 $1.78 -2.25% -0.74% -0.11% -1.69% +1.69% +2.81% -3.93% -2.81% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:29:42 $2.0 -2.00% -3.47% -5.50% -8.23% -6.00% +0.50% -2.00% -1.00% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:26:47 $1.98 -3.94% -7.07% -8.96% -4.53% -2.53% +2.02% -11.11% -0.51% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:28:12 $2.41 -6.22% -3.43% -9.75% -17.01% -17.01% +2.90% -2.07% +2.90% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:29:14 $2.83 -3.18% -7.42% -9.24% -8.13% -14.13% +1.06% -3.89% - LOSS
2024-11-13 09:28:33 $3.0 -1.37% +2.33% +1.57% -11.17% -17.33% +8.33% -5.00% +0.33% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:26:32 $2.69 -2.60% +7.43% +2.97% -2.23% -6.69% +22.30% -3.72% -0.37% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:28:35 $2.02 +2.97% -0.99% - +4.95% +32.67% +74.26% -3.47% -0.99% WIN
2023-12-28 09:26:00 $3.07 +0.33% +2.61% +4.39% +9.77% -3.91% +20.52% -4.23% +0.33% WIN
2023-12-26 09:28:00 $2.28 - +4.17% +5.70% +5.92% +1.75% +8.76% -1.13% - -
2023-09-22 09:29:00 $2.58 -1.16% -3.49% -3.49% -3.29% -5.43% +3.88% -1.55% -0.39% LOSS
2023-07-21 09:27:00 $3.4 -0.88% -0.74% +8.14% +3.23% +6.47% +13.24% -5.88% -0.29% LOSS
2023-07-10 09:28:00 $2.78 +3.96% +1.44% +1.06% +2.16% +21.94% +27.70% -1.44% -1.44% WIN
2023-07-06 09:27:00 $2.92 -3.03% -2.05% -4.09% -1.72% -3.77% +1.37% -11.99% - LOSS
2023-07-05 09:25:00 $3.48 +0.86% +0.86% -1.15% -0.84% -5.46% +4.89% -1.72% +0.86% WIN
2023-07-03 09:25:00 $3.76 -1.04% -2.39% -8.78% -9.31% - +5.05% -1.06% +5.05% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BTM Shows Negative Expectancy

With 41.2% win rate and -0.55% average gain, BTM alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BTM for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BTM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BTM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BTM historically offers an average upside of +12.32% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BTM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 41.2%, BTM shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BTM may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BTM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.55%). This suggests BTM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.