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BURL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 37 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-03 → 2024-11-26

⚠️ Small sample size (37 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

BURLINGTON STORES, INC. RETAIL-DEPARTMENT STORES (SIC 5311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 02, 2013 🔗 www.burlingtoninvestors.com
💰 Market Cap: $18.75B 👥 Employees: 77,532
Burlington Stores Inc is off-price retailer offering an extensive selection of in-season, fashion-focused merchandise including: women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts and coats. Company sell a broad selection of desirable, first-quality, current-brand, labeled merchandise acquired directly from nationally recognized manufacturers and other suppliers. Company sell product in category such as Ladies apparel, Accessories and shoes, Home, Mens apparel, Kids apparel and baby and Outerwear.
📊
37
Total Alerts
🎯
67.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.78%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.99%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 59.5%
Avg Gain: +0.44%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +4.36%
Worst: -2.24%
Trades: 22/15

15MIN

Win Rate: 59.5%
Avg Gain: +0.49%
Avg Winner: +1.74%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +6.34%
Worst: -4.49%
Trades: 22/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 59.5%
Avg Gain: +0.54%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +6.38%
Worst: -6.33%
Trades: 22/15

60MIN

Win Rate: 62.2%
Avg Gain: +0.67%
Avg Winner: +2.26%
Avg Loser: -1.93%
Best: +6.16%
Worst: -6.17%
Trades: 23/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 67.6%
Avg Gain: +0.78%
Avg Winner: +2.41%
Avg Loser: -2.62%
Best: +8.89%
Worst: -9.63%
Trades: 25/12

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.99%
Best MFE: +12.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 152 min

On average, BURL alerts reach +2.99% profit potential within 152 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.80%
Worst MAE: -6.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.73:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.73x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 37 alerts, BURL typically reaches +2.99% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 37
Gap Up % 64.9%
Avg Gap +0.28%
Best Gap +2.56%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-DEPARTMENT STORES

How BURL compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BURL: +0.44% Sector: +0.14% +0.30%
EOD Gain
BURL: +0.78% Sector: +0.13% +0.65%
Avg MFE
BURL: +2.99% Sector: +2.84% +0.15%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BURL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-26 09:29:38 $281.0 +2.85% +1.03% +0.04% +2.25% +2.11% +3.32% -0.36% +0.55% WIN
2024-10-04 09:27:11 $264.35 -0.64% +0.63% -0.13% -0.11% -0.03% +1.23% -0.94% -0.53% LOSS
2024-05-30 09:26:51 $230.49 +1.84% +3.84% +3.90% +4.33% +2.20% +4.98% -0.21% +0.83% WIN
2024-03-25 09:26:52 $226.3 +0.34% +0.89% +0.85% +1.67% +0.58% +2.33% -0.69% -0.00% WIN
2024-03-07 09:28:08 $219.0 +1.29% +0.29% +2.06% +1.77% +1.03% +3.88% +0.45% +1.36% WIN
2024-02-26 09:28:49 $199.4 +1.85% +2.82% +3.52% +3.13% +3.39% +3.70% +1.29% +1.67% WIN
2023-12-13 09:25:00 $178.68 +0.32% -0.58% -0.51% -0.52% +4.47% +4.79% -0.69% +0.01% WIN
2023-12-08 09:27:00 $174.0 -0.12% +0.28% +0.96% +1.55% +1.31% +2.16% -0.33% +0.14% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:27:00 $175.53 +1.08% +1.28% +1.00% +1.40% +0.39% +1.91% +0.84% +0.84% WIN
2023-11-27 09:28:00 $172.0 -0.09% -0.58% -0.20% -0.01% -0.19% +0.73% -0.81% +0.17% LOSS
2023-11-21 09:28:00 $159.31 -0.83% +0.81% +2.08% +1.81% +3.61% +4.88% -2.07% +0.37% LOSS
2023-11-16 09:28:00 $135.84 -0.95% -0.93% -2.06% -1.25% -4.35% -0.38% -0.85% -0.85% LOSS
2023-11-14 09:29:00 $128.49 +2.44% +3.78% +4.03% +4.06% +2.90% +5.08% +0.61% +0.79% WIN
2023-11-06 09:29:00 $132.75 -0.64% -1.47% -0.85% -0.58% -0.36% +0.14% -1.76% -0.46% LOSS
2023-10-16 09:29:00 $118.48 +0.86% +1.41% +2.44% +2.52% +3.99% +5.32% -0.19% -0.09% WIN
2023-10-06 09:29:00 $121.3 -0.58% -0.23% -0.96% -1.70% +1.78% +2.94% -2.15% -0.08% LOSS
2023-09-29 09:29:00 $133.5 +2.02% +2.51% +2.97% +2.28% +1.35% +3.34% +1.96% +1.96% WIN
2023-09-28 09:26:00 $132.94 -0.97% -1.35% -0.87% -1.90% +0.99% +1.21% -2.07% -0.99% LOSS
2023-09-08 09:26:00 $155.42 +1.05% +0.81% -0.75% +0.62% +0.44% +1.37% -0.57% +0.04% WIN
2023-08-30 09:25:00 $158.33 -1.75% -1.16% -0.06% -0.09% +1.24% +1.86% -1.75% -1.38% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 67.6% Baseline on BURL

The 67.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BURL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BURL Strategy →

Why Analyze BURL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BURL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BURL historically offers an average upside of +2.99% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BURL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 67.6%, BURL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BURL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.78%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.