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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$CASY

Trade-Ideas alert history 1 alerts 2023-11-092023-11-09

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 1 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 20, 1983 🔗 www.caseys.com
💰 Market Cap: $29.51B 👥 Employees: 49,848
Casey's General Stores Inc, along with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores mainly under the names Casey's, GoodStop (by Casey's), and Casey's General Store throughout various states in the USA, approximately half of which are located in Iowa, Missouri, and Illinois. These stores offer a broad selection of food items (which includes prepared foods such as regular and breakfast pizza, donuts, hot breakfast items, and hot and cold sandwiches), beverages, tobacco and nicotine products, groceries, health and beauty aids, automotive products, and other non-food items. The majority of the company's revenue is mainly derived from the retail sale of fuel and the products offered inside its stores.
Total alerts
1
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
0.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-1.49%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
-0.27%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CASY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.49%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: -1.49%
Worst: -1.49%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.60%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: -1.60%
Worst: -1.60%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.91%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.91%
Best: -1.91%
Worst: -1.91%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: -0.74%
Worst: -0.74%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: -0.27%
Best MFE: -0.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 362 min

On average, CASY alerts reach -0.27% profit potential within 362 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.21%
Worst MAE: -2.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.12:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, CASY typically reaches -0.27% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around -0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.87%
Best Gap -0.87%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS

How CASY compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CASY: +0.00% Sector: -0.27% +0.27%
EOD Gain
CASY: +0.00% Sector: +3463.44% -3463.44%
Avg MFE
CASY: +0.00% Sector: +5.90% -5.90%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CASY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-09 09:29:00 $277.25 -1.49% -1.60% -1.91% - -0.74% -0.27% -2.21% -0.87% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CASY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -1.49% average gain, CASY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CASY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CASY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CASY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CASY historically offers an average upside of -0.27% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CASY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, CASY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CASY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CASY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.49%). This suggests CASY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.