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CAVA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 32 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-16 → 2024-11-25
⚠️ Small sample size (32 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, CAVA alerts reach +3.72% profit potential within 115 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.70%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.19x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 32 alerts, CAVA typically reaches +3.72% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES
How CAVA compares to 27 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical CAVA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-25 | 09:25:14 | $148.0 | -0.28% | -1.42% | -1.94% | -1.03% | -3.69% | +0.34% | +0.04% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-11-21 | 09:27:56 | $140.4 | -1.41% | -0.87% | +0.66% | +0.79% | +3.13% | +3.42% | -2.23% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-18 | 09:28:59 | $135.27 | -0.15% | -1.46% | -0.65% | +1.77% | +1.46% | +3.55% | -1.68% | -0.68% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-13 | 09:29:42 | $167.8 | -1.11% | +0.57% | -3.59% | -3.94% | -12.22% | +2.76% | -2.45% | +0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-01 | 09:25:28 | $124.14 | -0.37% | -0.39% | +0.45% | -0.46% | -1.38% | +1.22% | -0.88% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-29 | 09:28:40 | $115.31 | +0.04% | -3.37% | -2.56% | -1.44% | -3.85% | +0.77% | -0.79% | +0.54% | WIN |
| 2024-08-27 | 09:28:58 | $115.51 | +1.03% | +0.33% | +1.19% | +1.23% | +2.24% | +4.06% | -1.39% | +0.34% | WIN |
| 2024-08-23 | 09:28:14 | $110.75 | +1.09% | +3.69% | +5.95% | +7.83% | +10.16% | +13.65% | -0.90% | -0.47% | WIN |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:25:21 | $73.79 | -1.67% | +1.12% | +3.62% | +4.11% | +8.25% | +10.69% | -2.29% | -0.73% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-01 | 09:29:27 | $93.71 | +0.14% | -0.69% | -0.93% | -0.97% | +1.66% | +2.61% | -2.14% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2024-06-13 | 09:28:12 | $92.01 | - | +0.58% | -0.01% | -1.17% | +0.55% | +1.27% | +0.02% | +0.42% | - |
| 2024-06-06 | 09:25:59 | $87.65 | +0.09% | +0.26% | -0.18% | -0.13% | -2.98% | +1.56% | -2.60% | -0.54% | WIN |
| 2024-06-03 | 09:25:33 | $90.0 | -0.42% | +2.08% | -0.01% | -1.73% | -2.22% | +2.18% | -1.91% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-29 | 09:26:24 | $78.95 | +0.65% | -2.47% | -4.45% | -2.67% | +11.67% | +13.60% | -5.94% | +0.41% | WIN |
| 2024-05-28 | 09:27:37 | $86.89 | -2.87% | -2.49% | -3.49% | -1.37% | -5.17% | +0.01% | -0.33% | -1.20% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-09 | 09:28:12 | $64.9 | -0.80% | -1.86% | -2.73% | -5.55% | -7.12% | -0.03% | -0.91% | -0.54% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-01 | 09:27:31 | $70.71 | -0.91% | -0.38% | -0.37% | -1.85% | -3.27% | +1.26% | +0.76% | +0.95% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-29 | 09:27:09 | $58.7 | -0.24% | -1.87% | -0.95% | +0.34% | -0.49% | +1.94% | -2.71% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-27 | 09:26:00 | $54.2 | -0.46% | +0.26% | +0.78% | -0.55% | +4.54% | +7.42% | -2.56% | +0.17% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-22 | 09:29:36 | $49.3 | -1.42% | +0.44% | +0.51% | +1.63% | +1.42% | +3.41% | -1.52% | -0.04% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ CAVA Shows Negative Expectancy
With 40.6% win rate and -1.04% average gain, CAVA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CAVA for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze CAVA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CAVA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, CAVA historically offers an average upside of +3.72% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 CAVA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 40.6%, CAVA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CAVA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: CAVA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -1.04%). This suggests CAVA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.