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CCL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 749 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Carnival Corporation WATER TRANSPORTATION (SIC 4400)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 24, 1987 🔗 www.carnivalcorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $37.47B 👥 Employees: 100,000
Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with more than 90 ships in service. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It recently folded its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 14 million guests in 2025.
📊
749
Total Alerts
🎯
49.8%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.26%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.8%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +4.18%
Worst: -6.80%
Trades: 372/361

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.20%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +8.48%
Worst: -8.41%
Trades: 369/373

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +11.76%
Worst: -5.53%
Trades: 366/374

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +10.93%
Worst: -13.29%
Trades: 361/380

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +2.40%
Avg Loser: -2.23%
Best: +10.94%
Worst: -14.27%
Trades: 360/378

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.26%
Best MFE: +15.02%
Avg Time to MFE: 109 min

On average, CCL alerts reach +2.26% profit potential within 109 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.83%
Worst MAE: -6.14%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.83%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.71:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.71x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 749 alerts, CCL typically reaches +2.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 749
Gap Up % 39.4%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +3.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WATER TRANSPORTATION

How CCL compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CCL: +0.05% Sector: +0.05% -0.00%
EOD Gain
CCL: +0.03% Sector: +0.12% -0.09%
Avg MFE
CCL: +2.26% Sector: +2.60% -0.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CCL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:56 $25.87 -0.70% -0.99% -0.64% -0.64% +1.39% +1.47% -1.51% +0.43% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:08 $25.93 +1.12% +1.12% +0.15% -1.06% -0.27% +1.58% -0.19% +0.21% WIN
2025-02-12 09:25:11 $25.3 +0.14% -0.20% +0.22% +0.81% +2.33% +2.45% -0.97% -0.40% WIN
2025-02-11 09:28:20 $25.93 -1.08% -1.25% -1.08% -1.68% -1.23% -0.08% -0.66% -0.50% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:20 $27.47 +0.69% +0.44% -0.82% -1.18% -2.62% +1.26% - +0.25% WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:14 $27.15 +0.48% -0.44% -1.12% -0.96% -0.22% +0.70% -0.48% +0.11% WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:32 $26.43 +1.17% +0.97% +1.91% +3.54% +2.35% +4.16% -0.61% +0.34% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:17 $28.55 +0.14% +0.35% -0.18% -0.95% -3.08% +0.60% -0.11% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:05 $28.14 -0.11% +0.14% +0.53% +0.14% +1.24% +1.28% -0.46% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:28:36 $27.71 +0.22% +0.17% +1.43% +0.45% +0.72% +1.48% -0.32% +0.22% WIN
2025-01-28 09:29:05 $25.77 +2.54% +2.79% +3.57% +5.80% +7.76% +7.96% -0.04% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:33 $25.05 +0.73% +0.80% +2.00% +1.96% +2.52% +3.27% -0.68% -0.16% WIN
2025-01-24 09:27:59 $25.54 +0.31% -0.35% -0.22% -0.10% -0.47% +0.78% -0.12% -0.08% WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:17 $25.16 -0.60% -0.56% -0.44% -0.06% +1.79% +1.95% -0.83% +0.36% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:26:26 $25.83 -0.43% -0.39% -1.51% -2.13% -2.25% +0.35% +0.04% +0.15% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:26 $26.35 +0.53% +1.41% +1.16% +0.44% -2.85% +1.59% -0.11% +0.34% WIN
2025-01-17 09:25:05 $25.22 +0.08% +0.89% +0.91% +0.79% +2.50% +3.51% -0.20% -0.08% WIN
2025-01-15 09:29:51 $25.1 -0.04% -0.94% -1.02% -1.04% -0.64% +0.70% -0.16% +0.48% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:29:03 $24.03 -0.23% -0.06% -0.60% +1.14% +2.00% +2.33% -0.83% +0.21% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:25:34 $23.8 +0.60% +0.59% +1.53% +0.15% +0.38% +1.58% -0.29% -0.29% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 49.8% Baseline on CCL

The 49.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CCL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CCL Strategy →

Why Analyze CCL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CCL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CCL historically offers an average upside of +2.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CCL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.8%, CCL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CCL performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.