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CUK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 322 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-01-28

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 23, 2000 🔗 www.carnivalplc.com
💰 Market Cap: $37.29B 👥 Employees: 87,000
Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with more than 90 ships in service. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Line, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; and Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It recently folded its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 14 million guests in 2025.
📊
322
Total Alerts
🎯
54.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.09%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 54.7%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +2.68%
Worst: -7.23%
Trades: 175/139

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.3%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -1.37%
Best: +8.17%
Worst: -7.50%
Trades: 161/147

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.6%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: -1.52%
Best: +10.74%
Worst: -8.27%
Trades: 162/157

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.4%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +2.11%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +10.17%
Worst: -16.27%
Trades: 155/162

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +3.00%
Avg Loser: -2.80%
Best: +11.19%
Worst: -17.47%
Trades: 168/152

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.75%
Best MFE: +12.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 132 min

On average, CUK alerts reach +2.75% profit potential within 132 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.92%
Worst MAE: -5.28%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.92%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.99:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.99x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 322 alerts, CUK typically reaches +2.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 322
Gap Up % 41.0%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +1.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WATER TRANSPORTATION

How CUK compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CUK: +0.09% Sector: +0.05% +0.05%
EOD Gain
CUK: +0.26% Sector: +0.12% +0.14%
Avg MFE
CUK: +2.76% Sector: +2.60% +0.15%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CUK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:28:17 $23.29 +2.66% +3.13% +3.82% +6.38% +8.59% +8.65% -0.09% -0.09% WIN
2024-12-20 09:29:33 $24.09 -3.03% -1.87% -2.80% -2.49% +0.95% +2.26% -3.88% -2.78% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:27:04 $24.58 -0.24% -0.37% +0.08% -0.41% -2.12% +0.33% -0.53% +0.33% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:29:38 $22.95 +0.13% +0.04% +0.09% - +0.17% +0.57% -0.44% -0.35% WIN
2024-11-07 09:27:31 $21.6 +0.09% +0.56% +1.11% +0.86% -0.79% +1.34% -0.56% -0.23% WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:56 $21.37 +2.06% +2.01% +0.37% +1.17% +2.95% +3.21% -0.14% +0.14% WIN
2024-10-31 09:27:42 $20.46 -0.24% +2.05% -0.02% -0.51% -2.25% +2.05% -0.68% +0.05% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:28:58 $19.48 +1.59% +1.80% +1.59% +1.36% +3.08% +4.00% -0.26% -0.15% WIN
2024-10-28 09:29:19 $19.73 +1.17% +0.71% +0.76% -0.08% +1.06% +2.79% +0.25% +0.35% WIN
2024-10-16 09:26:20 $19.72 -1.17% -0.23% -0.94% -0.99% -0.81% +0.41% -1.37% -0.15% LOSS
2024-10-14 09:29:17 $18.56 -0.86% -0.81% -0.56% -1.19% -0.70% +0.48% -0.08% -0.05% LOSS
2024-10-10 09:28:00 $18.16 +1.54% +1.49% +2.20% +2.20% +3.03% +3.19% -0.33% +0.11% WIN
2024-10-09 09:28:47 $17.4 +1.61% +0.86% +2.79% +3.79% +6.67% +7.21% -0.11% -0.06% WIN
2024-10-01 09:25:05 $16.89 +0.47% -4.09% -4.71% -4.44% -3.55% +1.24% -0.12% +0.89% WIN
2024-09-30 09:26:35 $17.02 -7.23% -4.18% -4.17% -3.35% -2.06% +0.18% +0.18% -0.23% LOSS
2024-08-15 09:29:38 $13.8 +0.87% +0.80% +1.01% +1.92% +3.99% +4.24% -0.22% - WIN
2024-06-26 09:29:25 $16.17 +0.03% +0.37% +0.65% +1.82% +3.34% +3.71% -0.62% +0.19% WIN
2024-06-25 09:28:16 $15.2 +1.05% +3.09% +1.38% +1.25% +5.72% +6.51% -2.43% -0.72% WIN
2024-06-04 09:28:34 $14.66 +1.30% +1.16% +1.98% +3.62% +4.37% +4.43% -0.27% -0.14% WIN
2024-05-09 09:27:31 $13.15 -0.30% -0.46% -0.04% +0.01% +1.22% +1.90% -0.68% -0.15% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.7% Baseline on CUK

The 54.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CUK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CUK Strategy →

Why Analyze CUK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CUK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CUK historically offers an average upside of +2.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CUK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.7%, CUK shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CUK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.