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CIFR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 219 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-27 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

Cipher Mining Inc. Common Stock FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 30, 2021 🔗 www.ciphermining.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.94B 👥 Employees: 43
Cipher Mining Inc ia an emerging technology company that operates in the Bitcoin mining ecosystem in the United States. The company is developing a cryptocurrency mining business, specializing in Bitcoin. The company is expanding and strengthening the Bitcoin network's critical infrastructure in the United States.
📊
219
Total Alerts
🎯
47.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.17%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.50%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.8%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -2.03%
Best: +10.10%
Worst: -8.67%
Trades: 85/127

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +2.87%
Avg Loser: -2.95%
Best: +11.74%
Worst: -9.74%
Trades: 94/122

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.3%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +3.48%
Avg Loser: -3.26%
Best: +16.81%
Worst: -18.68%
Trades: 97/121

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +3.70%
Avg Loser: -4.05%
Best: +13.11%
Worst: -21.87%
Trades: 100/116

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +5.77%
Avg Loser: -5.55%
Best: +22.66%
Worst: -20.00%
Trades: 103/114

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.50%
Best MFE: +30.79%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, CIFR alerts reach +5.50% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.53%
Worst MAE: -11.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 219 alerts, CIFR typically reaches +5.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 219
Gap Up % 32.0%
Avg Gap -0.36%
Best Gap +5.45%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How CIFR compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CIFR: -0.39% Sector: -0.22% -0.18%
EOD Gain
CIFR: -0.17% Sector: +101.11% -101.28%
Avg MFE
CIFR: +5.50% Sector: +5.23% +0.27%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CIFR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:26:41 $5.56 +0.36% +0.90% +1.98% +1.53% +3.96% +6.57% -0.90% -0.54% WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:28 $5.96 -2.52% -1.85% +2.94% -0.76% -4.36% +3.61% -3.02% -1.01% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:39 $6.1 -1.07% -1.82% -1.64% -1.48% -2.30% +0.82% -2.95% -0.33% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:58 $6.13 +4.24% +2.94% +1.79% +0.46% -2.61% +5.22% -0.90% -0.90% WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:02 $5.76 +3.30% +5.12% +2.86% +4.43% +2.26% +10.59% +0.52% +0.87% WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:42 $5.7 +1.58% +1.93% +0.96% +0.18% +1.93% +3.51% - +1.23% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:55 $5.2 +0.96% +0.96% +1.92% +5.75% +11.92% +16.12% -1.54% +0.58% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:28 $5.68 +3.26% +2.11% +1.07% +4.23% +0.88% +10.74% -3.17% -1.41% WIN
2025-01-30 09:28:55 $4.6 +3.04% +3.46% +3.90% +2.39% +2.17% +5.98% -0.22% - WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:36 $4.75 -5.87% -6.63% -5.37% -5.68% -5.47% - -3.58% -1.05% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:29 $5.4 -3.39% -5.09% -6.02% -10.18% -16.48% +0.72% -1.20% +0.56% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:02 $5.51 -0.36% -3.72% -2.99% -6.99% -2.18% +0.73% -1.45% -1.09% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:24 $5.54 -0.36% +0.18% +1.81% +0.54% -1.99% +3.07% -1.99% -0.72% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:33 $5.25 -0.38% -1.24% +0.34% +0.38% -0.19% +3.05% -3.43% - LOSS
2025-01-14 09:25:23 $5.16 +0.58% +0.58% -0.48% -1.94% -4.07% +1.65% -1.16% -1.16% WIN
2025-01-13 09:28:12 $4.7 -1.06% -0.11% +0.41% -0.43% +2.34% +2.77% -2.34% +0.21% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:27:02 $4.95 -0.51% -1.41% -0.61% -2.02% +0.61% +1.82% -0.40% +0.20% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:27:23 $5.78 -2.94% -1.23% -0.17% -1.38% +1.21% +3.29% -4.84% -0.69% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:27:47 $4.89 +1.79% +3.07% +2.66% +5.32% +13.91% +14.11% -0.72% +0.20% WIN
2025-01-02 09:28:21 $4.84 -1.64% +0.26% +3.51% -0.62% -0.21% +4.13% -3.51% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CIFR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.0% win rate and -0.17% average gain, CIFR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CIFR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CIFR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CIFR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CIFR historically offers an average upside of +5.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CIFR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.0%, CIFR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CIFR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CIFR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.17%). This suggests CIFR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.