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Latest signal:

CL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 91 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-28

⚠️ Small sample size (91 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 09, 1951 🔗 www.colgatepalmolive.com
💰 Market Cap: $69.85B 👥 Employees: 34,000
Since its founding in 1806, Colgate-Palmolive has grown into a leading player in the household and personal care industry. In addition to its namesake oral care line (which accounts for more than 40% of its total sales), the firm manufactures shampoos, shower gels, deodorants, and home care products sold in over 200 countries. International sales account for about 70% of its total business, including approximately 45% from emerging regions. It also owns specialty pet food maker Hill's (around one-fifth of sales), which sells a majority of its products through veterinarians and specialty pet retailers.
📊
91
Total Alerts
🎯
54.9%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.5%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +1.24%
Worst: -1.44%
Trades: 45/46

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.7%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +1.27%
Worst: -2.29%
Trades: 48/41

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +1.55%
Worst: -3.13%
Trades: 42/48

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.9%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +1.94%
Worst: -2.37%
Trades: 50/41

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +3.00%
Worst: -2.65%
Trades: 42/46

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.82%
Best MFE: +3.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 142 min

On average, CL alerts reach +0.82% profit potential within 142 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.39%
Worst MAE: -2.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.13:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.13x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 91 alerts, CL typically reaches +0.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 91
Gap Up % 52.7%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +1.28%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS

How CL compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CL: +0.04% Sector: -0.23% +0.27%
EOD Gain
CL: -0.03% Sector: +353.74% -353.77%
Avg MFE
CL: +0.83% Sector: +2.47% -1.64%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:29:48 $90.86 +0.50% +0.81% +0.76% +0.21% -1.10% +1.14% -0.51% -0.12% WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:44 $87.93 -0.02% +0.22% +0.51% +0.26% -0.06% +0.88% -0.52% -0.25% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:26:54 $86.73 -0.31% +0.27% -0.07% -0.51% -0.43% +0.42% -1.34% -0.42% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:27:12 $93.44 -0.14% +0.06% -0.19% +0.10% - +0.54% -0.52% +0.02% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:26:41 $93.71 +0.23% +0.23% +0.13% +0.58% -0.41% +0.99% -0.05% +0.22% WIN
2024-10-25 09:25:46 $96.55 +0.57% +0.69% +0.23% -0.78% -0.97% +1.28% -0.88% -0.01% WIN
2024-07-26 09:26:30 $98.2 +1.24% +0.89% +0.74% +1.62% +1.21% +2.45% - +0.81% WIN
2024-04-12 09:26:59 $85.76 +0.29% +0.29% +0.34% +0.38% +0.10% +0.57% -0.07% -0.04% WIN
2023-12-12 09:28:00 $77.6 +0.13% +0.20% +0.24% +0.46% +1.28% +1.29% -0.10% +0.28% WIN
2023-11-29 09:28:00 $78.0 -0.28% -0.28% -0.22% -0.24% -0.15% +0.07% -0.56% -0.21% LOSS
2023-11-28 09:26:00 $77.1 +0.45% +0.38% +0.56% +0.82% +1.00% +1.16% -0.02% +0.26% WIN
2023-11-02 09:26:00 $75.43 -0.56% -1.48% -1.33% -0.97% -0.84% -0.50% -0.95% -0.95% LOSS
2023-10-31 09:25:00 $73.92 +0.55% +0.25% +0.57% +0.51% +1.62% +1.84% +0.07% +0.41% WIN
2023-10-16 09:28:00 $71.89 -0.71% -0.93% -0.50% +0.03% +0.36% +0.51% -1.14% -0.38% LOSS
2023-09-20 09:26:00 $73.22 +0.37% - -0.18% +0.25% +0.74% +1.00% -0.27% +0.34% WIN
2023-08-08 09:26:00 $76.89 +0.14% -0.34% -0.46% -0.64% -0.73% +0.31% +0.13% +0.17% WIN
2023-07-28 09:27:00 $74.7 +0.13% - -0.55% +0.02% +1.23% +1.39% -1.27% +0.67% WIN
2023-07-27 09:25:00 $78.28 -0.23% -0.09% -0.29% -0.56% -1.49% +0.14% -0.47% -0.45% LOSS
2023-07-13 09:27:00 $75.25 +0.18% -0.05% -0.09% +0.21% +0.81% +1.03% -0.29% +0.19% WIN
2023-06-28 09:28:00 $75.94 -1.22% -1.49% -1.63% -1.45% -0.04% - -1.70% -0.80% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 54.9% win rate, CL has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making CL profitable.

🔧 Fix CL Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze CL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CL historically offers an average upside of +0.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.9%, CL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.70%) outweigh average wins (+0.54%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.02%). This suggests CL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.