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KVUE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 80 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-05 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (80 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 04, 2023 🔗 www.kenvue.com
💰 Market Cap: $34.10B 👥 Employees: 22,000
Kenvue is the world's largest pure-play consumer health company by sales, generating over $15 billion in annual revenue. Formerly known as Johnson & Johnson's consumer segment, Kenvue spun off and went public in May 2023. It operates in a variety of categories within consumer health, such as cough, cold and allergy care, pain management, face and body care, and oral care, as well as women's health. Its portfolio has some of the most well-known brands in the space, including Tylenol, Listerine, Johnson's, Aveeno, and Neutrogena. Kenvue announced November 2025 that it signed a deal to be fully acquired by Kimberly-Clark with the deal expected to close during the second half of 2026.
📊
80
Total Alerts
🎯
52.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.05%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.34%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +2.17%
Worst: -1.99%
Trades: 40/38

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.5%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +3.48%
Worst: -4.00%
Trades: 42/37

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.5%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +3.68%
Worst: -2.35%
Trades: 42/38

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.2%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +4.54%
Worst: -2.50%
Trades: 41/39

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.54%
Avg Loser: -1.23%
Best: +6.50%
Worst: -4.49%
Trades: 34/45

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.34%
Best MFE: +9.46%
Avg Time to MFE: 127 min

On average, KVUE alerts reach +1.34% profit potential within 127 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.71%
Worst MAE: -6.37%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.71%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.9:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 80 alerts, KVUE typically reaches +1.34% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 80
Gap Up % 41.2%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +1.35%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS

How KVUE compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KVUE: -0.02% Sector: -0.23% +0.20%
EOD Gain
KVUE: -0.04% Sector: +353.74% -353.78%
Avg MFE
KVUE: +1.34% Sector: +2.47% -1.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KVUE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:25:18 $20.73 +0.19% +0.12% -1.59% -1.06% -4.49% +1.78% -0.94% -0.94% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:04 $21.11 +0.19% +0.21% +0.40% +0.66% +0.57% +0.78% -0.28% +0.33% WIN
2025-01-27 09:29:58 $21.08 +1.14% +1.54% +0.66% +0.28% +1.71% +2.18% -0.02% +0.19% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:01 $20.86 -0.29% -0.93% -0.96% -0.65% -0.53% -0.05% -0.48% -0.29% LOSS
2024-11-27 09:26:51 $24.0 +0.92% +0.71% +0.56% +1.19% +0.54% +1.69% +0.42% +0.88% WIN
2024-11-20 09:28:43 $23.58 +0.17% +0.13% +0.40% +0.40% +0.85% +0.85% -0.08% +0.34% WIN
2024-11-18 09:27:15 $23.76 +0.34% +0.55% +0.02% +0.19% -0.17% +1.03% -0.38% +0.19% WIN
2024-11-07 09:28:38 $22.15 +2.17% +3.48% +3.68% +4.54% +3.70% +5.58% -0.50% +0.09% WIN
2024-10-21 09:29:58 $22.99 +0.13% +0.76% +0.37% +0.54% -0.30% +1.74% -0.61% -0.17% WIN
2024-09-18 09:25:47 $23.43 -0.34% +0.23% -0.17% -0.34% -1.02% +0.38% +0.34% +0.04% LOSS
2024-09-12 09:25:14 $23.15 -0.13% -0.41% -0.71% -0.84% -0.30% +0.17% -0.22% -0.22% LOSS
2024-09-06 09:28:06 $22.51 +0.80% +1.27% +0.64% +1.35% +1.55% +2.18% -0.04% - WIN
2024-09-05 09:29:11 $22.55 - +0.31% -0.31% -0.16% -0.18% +0.58% -0.31% +0.04% -
2024-09-04 09:29:03 $22.15 +0.88% +0.45% +0.86% +1.02% +1.63% +2.17% -0.68% -0.50% WIN
2024-08-06 09:27:49 $20.08 +1.20% +2.39% +2.37% +3.16% +3.88% +4.18% -0.84% +0.35% WIN
2024-07-10 09:25:32 $18.08 +0.50% +0.61% +0.19% +0.39% -2.10% +0.89% -0.14% +0.33% WIN
2024-07-03 09:25:40 $18.3 +0.44% +0.05% -0.08% -0.22% +0.05% +0.63% -0.05% +0.44% WIN
2024-07-02 09:28:52 $18.03 +0.22% +0.22% +0.22% +0.61% +1.16% +1.28% -0.22% -0.11% WIN
2024-07-01 09:28:57 $18.22 +0.27% +0.58% +0.36% -0.19% -1.48% +0.96% -0.36% +0.05% WIN
2024-06-27 09:25:02 $18.59 -0.05% -0.70% -0.94% -0.74% -0.91% +0.16% -0.16% -0.16% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ KVUE Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.5% win rate, KVUE has -0.05% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making KVUE profitable.

🔧 Fix KVUE Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze KVUE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KVUE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KVUE historically offers an average upside of +1.34% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KVUE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.5%, KVUE shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.93%) outweigh average wins (+0.72%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: KVUE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.05%). This suggests KVUE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.