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EL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 58 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-04 β 2025-02-04
β οΈ Small sample size (58 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
π’ Company Profile
π Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
π Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
π MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, EL alerts reach +1.92% profit potential within 107 minutes.
π MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.89%.
βοΈ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.16x the typical drawdown.
π‘ Trading Insight: Based on 58 alerts, EL typically reaches +1.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.
π Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β 9:30)
π Sector Comparison: PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS
How EL compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
π Last 20 Alerts
Historical EL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-04 | 09:25:15 | $78.01 | -2.94% | -7.23% | -5.52% | -13.61% | -10.95% | - | -0.65% | -1.94% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:26:24 | $82.5 | +1.05% | -0.33% | -1.45% | -1.08% | -0.27% | +1.05% | +0.44% | +0.73% | WIN |
| 2024-12-03 | 09:26:53 | $75.29 | +0.56% | -0.41% | +0.88% | +0.62% | +2.91% | +3.41% | -0.65% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2024-12-02 | 09:26:33 | $72.47 | -0.27% | -0.55% | -0.43% | +0.87% | +4.84% | +4.97% | -1.26% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-27 | 09:26:57 | $73.88 | +1.10% | +1.92% | +1.92% | +2.40% | +0.11% | +3.44% | -0.45% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2024-11-22 | 09:28:19 | $66.45 | +0.67% | +1.57% | +2.39% | +2.84% | +5.24% | +5.73% | -0.03% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:29:15 | $68.03 | +0.72% | +0.62% | -0.11% | +0.93% | -2.13% | +1.34% | -1.12% | -0.01% | WIN |
| 2024-10-31 | 09:28:59 | $67.0 | -3.75% | +0.67% | +3.70% | +5.69% | +2.90% | +8.36% | -5.43% | -1.64% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-25 | 09:28:53 | $88.7 | -0.11% | -0.04% | -1.21% | -0.89% | -1.63% | +0.32% | -0.20% | +0.15% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-26 | 09:28:51 | $98.13 | +0.84% | +1.96% | +1.21% | +1.66% | +2.70% | +3.79% | -0.67% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2024-09-04 | 09:28:28 | $92.0 | +0.98% | +0.14% | +0.54% | +0.32% | +0.45% | +1.52% | -0.08% | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2024-09-03 | 09:26:30 | $90.9 | +0.14% | +0.84% | +1.63% | +0.84% | +1.79% | +2.37% | -0.49% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2024-08-23 | 09:27:21 | $91.93 | +0.24% | +0.61% | +1.08% | +2.92% | +1.93% | +3.53% | -0.38% | -0.05% | WIN |
| 2024-08-22 | 09:26:17 | $94.93 | -1.16% | -1.03% | -1.96% | -1.45% | -3.68% | +1.13% | +0.34% | +1.08% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-19 | 09:28:29 | $98.0 | -3.57% | -4.71% | -3.95% | -2.93% | -5.26% | -0.40% | -4.21% | -2.96% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-07 | 09:27:03 | $94.0 | +0.27% | -0.18% | +0.67% | -0.37% | -2.59% | +0.86% | -0.32% | +0.60% | WIN |
| 2024-07-05 | 09:27:40 | $106.32 | +0.08% | +0.66% | -0.03% | -0.15% | +0.03% | +1.18% | -0.23% | +0.40% | WIN |
| 2024-06-21 | 09:26:21 | $112.69 | +0.93% | +1.20% | +1.10% | +1.20% | +1.03% | +1.51% | +0.20% | +1.00% | WIN |
| 2024-05-24 | 09:26:33 | $127.0 | -0.20% | -0.67% | -0.28% | -0.26% | -0.74% | +0.21% | -0.76% | -0.54% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-08 | 09:25:23 | $128.5 | -0.40% | -0.87% | -1.08% | -0.65% | +0.80% | +0.89% | -1.47% | +0.14% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
β οΈ EL Shows Negative Expectancy
With 48.3% win rate and -0.47% average gain, EL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EL for short-selling strategies.
π Turn Negative Expectancy Positive βWhy Analyze EL with FILTRIX?
π‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
π° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, EL historically offers an average upside of +1.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
π EL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 48.3%, EL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
β±οΈ Optimized Exit Timing
β οΈ Caution Advised: EL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.47%). This suggests EL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.