Latest signal:
UPST Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 519 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, UPST alerts reach +4.93% profit potential within 116 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.73%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.85x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 519 alerts, UPST typically reaches +4.93% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES
How UPST compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical UPST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:28:02 | $79.96 | +1.51% | +3.33% | +4.00% | +6.34% | +3.08% | +7.67% | -0.26% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:29:44 | $87.7 | +4.39% | +3.03% | +5.95% | +7.94% | -4.04% | +9.95% | -0.06% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:25:29 | $81.76 | +1.24% | +7.17% | +7.79% | +7.24% | +8.57% | +10.62% | -2.15% | +2.05% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:25:40 | $69.71 | -1.40% | -0.72% | +0.66% | -1.09% | -3.40% | +1.13% | -2.57% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:26:57 | $71.38 | -0.53% | +1.29% | +1.65% | +2.54% | -0.62% | +3.39% | -2.17% | -0.35% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:29:03 | $67.74 | +3.71% | +4.86% | +4.46% | +4.68% | +1.64% | +6.88% | -0.53% | - | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:29:51 | $60.91 | +0.25% | -0.44% | -0.46% | +1.74% | +3.71% | +4.20% | -1.58% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:27:59 | $64.0 | -1.25% | +0.28% | +3.40% | +4.62% | +1.58% | +6.20% | -1.70% | +1.05% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:25:59 | $62.31 | +0.72% | -1.30% | +1.44% | +1.91% | +0.58% | +3.02% | -2.28% | -0.37% | WIN |
| 2025-01-13 | 09:25:58 | $55.55 | +0.81% | -0.42% | +3.55% | +0.85% | +2.74% | +4.05% | -0.63% | -0.29% | WIN |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:26:21 | $58.01 | -0.50% | -2.84% | -1.86% | -2.36% | -0.47% | +0.03% | -2.09% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:27:17 | $58.65 | +1.33% | +1.23% | -0.96% | -0.94% | +0.97% | +2.20% | -0.22% | - | WIN |
| 2024-12-30 | 09:26:50 | $65.97 | +0.42% | -1.81% | -1.62% | -2.99% | -4.02% | +1.12% | -0.09% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2024-12-23 | 09:26:59 | $69.0 | +0.36% | -1.61% | -1.52% | -2.35% | -1.45% | +0.65% | -0.94% | -0.25% | WIN |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:28:03 | $66.5 | +0.60% | +0.41% | +0.81% | +5.01% | +2.86% | +7.32% | -1.43% | -0.75% | WIN |
| 2024-12-19 | 09:27:18 | $75.5 | +0.82% | -0.93% | -4.11% | -7.83% | -10.95% | +1.66% | -1.11% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2024-12-16 | 09:28:52 | $84.73 | -3.89% | -1.81% | -1.72% | -0.39% | -0.97% | +0.89% | -0.68% | +0.71% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-13 | 09:29:41 | $80.28 | +4.97% | +3.16% | +5.26% | +4.33% | +5.21% | +10.80% | -0.14% | -0.09% | WIN |
| 2024-12-11 | 09:29:22 | $76.69 | -0.22% | -0.81% | -0.78% | -0.72% | +2.23% | +2.61% | -2.16% | -0.85% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-03 | 09:25:31 | $68.15 | +0.88% | +0.54% | +3.05% | +4.08% | +6.79% | +8.92% | -0.88% | +0.51% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 49.1% Baseline on UPST
The 49.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UPST's performance to 75%+.
Optimize UPST Strategy →Why Analyze UPST with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UPST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, UPST historically offers an average upside of +4.93% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 UPST Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 49.1%, UPST shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UPST performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.