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Ticker Report β€” Active Last signal Β·

$UPST

Trade-Ideas alert history 519 alerts 2022-01-07 β†’ 2025-02-14

🏒 Company Profile

Upstart Holdings, Inc. Common stock FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Dec 16, 2020 πŸ”— www.upstart.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $2.66B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 1,405
Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The company support development of different lending product offerings, which are grouped into three operating segments - Personal Lending (unsecured personal loans and small dollar loans), Auto Lending (auto refinance, auto retail loans, and auto secured personal loans), and Other (HELOCs and other).
Total alerts
519
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· 5MIN
49.1%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· 5MIN
+0.07%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.93%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading UPST on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable UPST setups

Historical UPST setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: +5.93%
Worst: -4.91%
Trades: 254/260

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +2.37%
Avg Loser: -1.95%
Best: +14.07%
Worst: -9.56%
Trades: 243/272

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +2.94%
Avg Loser: -2.48%
Best: +18.29%
Worst: -12.42%
Trades: 251/263

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +3.55%
Avg Loser: -3.12%
Best: +20.77%
Worst: -14.52%
Trades: 247/270

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.1%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +5.45%
Avg Loser: -4.09%
Best: +28.57%
Worst: -20.60%
Trades: 234/284

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.93%
Best MFE: +29.49%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, UPST alerts reach +4.93% profit potential within 116 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.73%
Worst MAE: -11.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.73%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.85:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.85x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 519 alerts, UPST typically reaches +4.93% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 519
Gap Up % 36.8%
Avg Gap -0.12%
Best Gap +3.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How UPST compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UPST: +0.07% Sector: -0.22% +0.28%
EOD Gain
UPST: +0.21% Sector: +101.11% -100.90%
Avg MFE
UPST: +4.94% Sector: +5.23% -0.29%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical UPST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:02 $79.96 +1.51% +3.33% +4.00% +6.34% +3.08% +7.67% -0.26% +0.29% WIN
2025-02-13 09:29:44 $87.7 +4.39% +3.03% +5.95% +7.94% -4.04% +9.95% -0.06% +0.10% WIN
2025-02-12 09:25:29 $81.76 +1.24% +7.17% +7.79% +7.24% +8.57% +10.62% -2.15% +2.05% WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:40 $69.71 -1.40% -0.72% +0.66% -1.09% -3.40% +1.13% -2.57% -0.30% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:26:57 $71.38 -0.53% +1.29% +1.65% +2.54% -0.62% +3.39% -2.17% -0.35% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:03 $67.74 +3.71% +4.86% +4.46% +4.68% +1.64% +6.88% -0.53% - WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:51 $60.91 +0.25% -0.44% -0.46% +1.74% +3.71% +4.20% -1.58% +0.64% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:59 $64.0 -1.25% +0.28% +3.40% +4.62% +1.58% +6.20% -1.70% +1.05% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:59 $62.31 +0.72% -1.30% +1.44% +1.91% +0.58% +3.02% -2.28% -0.37% WIN
2025-01-13 09:25:58 $55.55 +0.81% -0.42% +3.55% +0.85% +2.74% +4.05% -0.63% -0.29% WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:21 $58.01 -0.50% -2.84% -1.86% -2.36% -0.47% +0.03% -2.09% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:27:17 $58.65 +1.33% +1.23% -0.96% -0.94% +0.97% +2.20% -0.22% - WIN
2024-12-30 09:26:50 $65.97 +0.42% -1.81% -1.62% -2.99% -4.02% +1.12% -0.09% +0.26% WIN
2024-12-23 09:26:59 $69.0 +0.36% -1.61% -1.52% -2.35% -1.45% +0.65% -0.94% -0.25% WIN
2024-12-20 09:28:03 $66.5 +0.60% +0.41% +0.81% +5.01% +2.86% +7.32% -1.43% -0.75% WIN
2024-12-19 09:27:18 $75.5 +0.82% -0.93% -4.11% -7.83% -10.95% +1.66% -1.11% +0.06% WIN
2024-12-16 09:28:52 $84.73 -3.89% -1.81% -1.72% -0.39% -0.97% +0.89% -0.68% +0.71% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:29:41 $80.28 +4.97% +3.16% +5.26% +4.33% +5.21% +10.80% -0.14% -0.09% WIN
2024-12-11 09:29:22 $76.69 -0.22% -0.81% -0.78% -0.72% +2.23% +2.61% -2.16% -0.85% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:25:31 $68.15 +0.88% +0.54% +3.05% +4.08% +6.79% +8.92% -0.88% +0.51% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 49.1% Baseline on UPST

The 49.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push UPST's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UPST Strategy β†’

Why Analyze UPST with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UPST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UPST historically offers an average upside of +4.93% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š UPST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.1%, UPST shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UPST performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.