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DAVE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 41 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-07 → 2024-11-13

⚠️ Small sample size (41 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Dave Inc. Class A Common Stock FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 06, 2022 🔗 www.dave.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.46B 👥 Employees: 274
Dave Inc is a financial services company. It is engaged in offering banking app that offers its customers banking, financial insights, overdraft protection, building credit and finding side gigs.
📊
41
Total Alerts
🎯
78.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1936.35%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+8.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 31.7%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +1.84%
Avg Loser: -1.94%
Best: +4.51%
Worst: -5.82%
Trades: 13/24

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.0%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +3.13%
Avg Loser: -2.75%
Best: +9.93%
Worst: -9.63%
Trades: 16/25

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.5%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +5.21%
Avg Loser: -3.72%
Best: +18.60%
Worst: -12.64%
Trades: 17/23

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.7%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +4.95%
Avg Loser: -4.49%
Best: +18.02%
Worst: -14.62%
Trades: 22/19

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 78.0%
Avg Gain: +1936.35%
Avg Winner: +2481.80%
Avg Loser: -3.00%
Best: +3564.70%
Worst: -7.35%
Trades: 32/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.19%
Best MFE: +26.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 93 min

On average, DAVE alerts reach +8.19% profit potential within 93 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.98%
Worst MAE: -13.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.98%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.74:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.74x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 41 alerts, DAVE typically reaches +8.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 41
Gap Up % 31.7%
Avg Gap -0.86%
Best Gap +2.92%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How DAVE compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DAVE: -0.55% Sector: -0.22% -0.34%
EOD Gain
DAVE: +1936.35% Sector: +101.11% +1835.24%
Avg MFE
DAVE: +8.19% Sector: +5.23% +2.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DAVE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-13 09:29:24 $78.25 -0.33% +9.93% +17.76% +18.02% +15.57% +21.35% -3.90% - LOSS
2022-11-23 09:25:00 $0.37 +2.70% +4.78% +5.27% +1.32% +3053.30% +8.11% - +2.70% WIN
2022-11-22 09:25:00 $0.34 -2.94% -4.41% -0.76% +0.88% +3354.12% +25.85% -5.88% - LOSS
2022-11-11 09:25:00 $0.3 -3.33% +3.20% +18.60% +14.37% +3526.67% +19.83% -3.33% -3.33% LOSS
2022-11-03 09:25:00 $0.27 -2.63% -2.33% -1.85% -2.33% -1.18% +3.59% -5.11% -0.15% LOSS
2022-11-02 09:25:00 $0.34 +2.89% -7.87% -7.89% -9.21% +2481.52% +2.92% -3.51% +0.29% WIN
2022-10-10 09:25:00 $0.41 -1.74% -4.67% -4.71% -4.88% +2845.78% - -4.52% -0.76% LOSS
2022-10-05 09:25:00 $0.45 -4.23% -2.34% -2.82% -1.69% +3038.79% +0.65% -6.14% -6.14% LOSS
2022-09-29 09:25:00 $0.41 - -9.63% -11.90% -14.62% +2705.85% +1.93% -2.44% - -
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $0.51 +1.96% -0.04% -3.31% -1.55% -5.75% +3.92% -0.04% +1.96% WIN
2022-09-12 09:25:00 $0.5 -0.02% -0.04% -0.88% +0.96% +3305.44% +8.00% -1.98% -0.20% LOSS
2022-09-06 09:25:00 $0.48 -0.65% -0.62% +0.25% +1.43% +3151.33% +8.33% -1.96% -0.31% LOSS
2022-08-30 09:25:00 $0.51 -0.30% +2.15% -1.44% -5.30% +3053.97% +2.42% -0.30% - LOSS
2022-08-26 09:25:00 $0.53 +0.75% +3.55% +2.72% +6.02% -0.19% +9.19% +0.02% +0.75% WIN
2022-08-25 09:25:00 $0.53 +0.70% -0.96% -1.75% +1.38% +3159.17% +3.77% -3.36% +0.75% WIN
2022-08-24 09:25:00 $0.5 -0.44% -0.02% -0.20% +2.90% +3242.08% +5.80% -1.64% -0.44% LOSS
2022-08-23 09:25:00 $0.52 -0.92% -1.74% -1.72% -3.84% +2907.63% -0.76% -0.92% -0.76% LOSS
2022-08-22 09:25:00 $0.54 +3.22% +3.44% - -3.33% -5.72% +3.65% - +1.85% WIN
2022-08-19 09:25:00 $0.61 -2.09% -3.44% -6.07% -7.41% +2888.42% - -3.87% -3.04% LOSS
2022-08-18 09:25:00 $0.6 -1.65% -0.66% +0.54% +0.45% -1.01% +4.13% -3.69% -2.48% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 78.0% Baseline on DAVE

The 78.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DAVE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DAVE Strategy →

Why Analyze DAVE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DAVE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DAVE historically offers an average upside of +8.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DAVE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 78.0%, DAVE shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DAVE performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1936.35%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.