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DAVEW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-27 → 2022-12-15

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Dave Inc. Warrants FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 06, 2022 🔗 www.dave.com
👥 Employees: 274
Dave Inc is a financial services company. It is engaged in offering banking app that offers its customers banking, financial insights, overdraft protection, building credit and finding side gigs.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-3.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+9.41%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -3.05%
Avg Winner: +8.49%
Avg Loser: -12.29%
Best: +20.00%
Worst: -20.30%
Trades: 4/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -10.23%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -10.23%
Best: -4.25%
Worst: -17.79%
Trades: 0/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -12.09%
Avg Winner: +6.00%
Avg Loser: -18.12%
Best: +6.00%
Worst: -21.14%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -7.43%
Avg Winner: +13.07%
Avg Loser: -12.55%
Best: +13.07%
Worst: -22.82%
Trades: 1/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 10.0%
Avg Gain: -13.56%
Avg Winner: +3.38%
Avg Loser: -17.37%
Best: +3.38%
Worst: -32.89%
Trades: 1/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.41%
Best MFE: +45.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 85 min

On average, DAVEW alerts reach +9.41% profit potential within 85 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -11.90%
Worst MAE: -23.66%
Avg Time to MAE: 32 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 11.90%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.79:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, DAVEW typically reaches +9.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap -1.81%
Best Gap +20.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How DAVEW compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DAVEW: +1.11% Sector: -0.22% +1.33%
EOD Gain
DAVEW: -21.37% Sector: +101.11% -122.48%
Avg MFE
DAVEW: +9.87% Sector: +5.23% +4.64%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DAVEW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-12-15 09:25:00 $0.04 - - - - -14.32% -6.34% -6.34% - -
2022-12-02 09:25:00 $0.04 -19.59% - - - - +0.26% -19.85% -19.59% LOSS
2022-11-28 09:25:00 $0.03 +9.21% - - - -2.54% +9.21% +9.21% +9.21% WIN
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $0.04 -16.45% -16.45% - - -19.79% -9.38% -16.45% -16.45% LOSS
2022-11-22 09:25:00 $0.03 -0.34% - - - +3.38% +45.27% -8.78% -0.34% LOSS
2022-10-20 09:25:00 $0.06 -20.30% -17.79% -21.14% -22.82% -32.89% -11.24% -23.66% -20.30% LOSS
2022-08-01 09:25:00 $0.15 -4.76% -4.76% - -4.69% -16.87% +15.65% -21.09% -1.36% LOSS
2022-07-29 09:25:00 $0.15 +4.00% -6.60% +6.00% +13.07% -6.00% +15.33% -9.33% +4.87% WIN
2022-07-28 09:25:00 $0.2 +20.00% -4.25% -14.45% -15.00% -21.35% +20.00% - +20.00% WIN
2022-07-27 09:25:00 $0.26 +0.75% -11.54% -18.77% -7.69% -25.23% +15.38% -22.69% +7.69% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DAVEW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.4% win rate and -3.05% average gain, DAVEW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DAVEW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze DAVEW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DAVEW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DAVEW historically offers an average upside of +9.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DAVEW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, DAVEW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DAVEW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DAVEW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -3.05%). This suggests DAVEW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.