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DBD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 23 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-10 → 2023-05-26

⚠️ Small sample size (23 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 14, 2023 🔗 www.dieboldnixdorf.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.51B 👥 Employees: 21,000
Diebold Nixdorf Inc is engaged in providing software and hardware services for financial and retail industries. The customer segments of the company are Banking, which offers integrated solutions for financial institutions, and Retail, which offers solutions, software, and services that improve the checkout process for retailers. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Banking segment. Geographically, the company generates maximum revenue from Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA), followed by the Americas and the Asia-Pacific region.
📊
23
Total Alerts
🎯
39.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.26%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.09%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.1%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +2.82%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +6.90%
Worst: -5.45%
Trades: 9/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.4%
Avg Gain: -3.06%
Avg Winner: +5.24%
Avg Loser: -6.69%
Best: +15.52%
Worst: -29.04%
Trades: 7/16

30MIN

Win Rate: 30.4%
Avg Gain: -3.18%
Avg Winner: +5.57%
Avg Loser: -7.01%
Best: +17.21%
Worst: -33.94%
Trades: 7/16

60MIN

Win Rate: 30.4%
Avg Gain: -3.74%
Avg Winner: +6.76%
Avg Loser: -8.34%
Best: +20.00%
Worst: -35.88%
Trades: 7/16

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 34.8%
Avg Gain: -8.06%
Avg Winner: +5.60%
Avg Loser: -15.34%
Best: +19.01%
Worst: -39.52%
Trades: 8/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.09%
Best MFE: +21.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 71 min

On average, DBD alerts reach +5.09% profit potential within 71 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.48%
Worst MAE: -19.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.46:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 23 alerts, DBD typically reaches +5.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 23
Gap Up % 30.4%
Avg Gap -0.61%
Best Gap +3.24%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CALCULATING & ACCOUNTING MACHINES (NO ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS)

How DBD compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DBD: -0.26% Sector: -0.24% -0.02%
EOD Gain
DBD: -8.06% Sector: -7.27% -0.79%
Avg MFE
DBD: +5.09% Sector: +4.65% +0.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DBD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-05-26 09:27:00 $0.25 -0.93% -3.69% -3.49% -3.88% -1.92% -0.78% -1.88% -0.78% LOSS
2023-05-25 09:26:00 $0.28 -2.15% -4.26% -3.38% -8.42% -10.95% -1.37% -1.37% -3.87% LOSS
2023-05-24 09:29:00 $0.3 +0.43% +0.74% +0.30% +0.05% -6.58% +2.11% -3.07% +2.11% WIN
2023-05-23 09:27:00 $0.31 +3.87% +3.35% +3.39% +3.26% +0.06% +5.03% -1.61% - WIN
2023-05-22 09:25:00 $0.29 +6.90% +15.52% +17.21% +20.00% +10.45% +20.52% -0.03% +3.24% WIN
2023-05-17 09:26:00 $0.35 -3.30% -5.43% -7.34% -4.72% +2.82% +5.23% -7.37% -1.59% LOSS
2023-05-05 09:26:00 $0.39 -0.20% -0.99% -0.66% +0.41% +6.91% +6.17% -4.87% -0.26% LOSS
2023-05-04 09:29:00 $0.49 -3.27% -5.54% -13.17% -20.68% -25.93% -1.23% -4.28% -4.09% LOSS
2023-05-03 09:28:00 $0.74 -4.00% -29.04% -33.94% -35.88% -39.52% - -0.23% -0.05% LOSS
2023-04-28 09:25:00 $0.79 -2.37% -2.76% -3.64% -1.67% +2.31% +10.31% -4.91% -2.50% LOSS
2023-04-19 09:28:00 $0.87 -1.41% -4.16% -4.16% -4.16% -6.88% -0.70% -1.91% -1.85% LOSS
2023-03-30 09:29:00 $1.24 +3.22% -1.21% -4.64% -0.66% -12.90% +4.84% -3.23% -2.42% WIN
2023-03-27 09:28:00 $0.86 +2.98% +2.10% +2.46% -3.08% +2.25% +5.59% -4.54% +1.28% WIN
2023-03-24 09:25:00 $0.9 - -3.60% -3.83% -0.03% -9.43% +2.22% -1.67% -1.11% -
2023-03-23 09:29:00 $0.88 +1.81% -0.77% +0.58% +1.40% -3.32% +2.27% - +1.12% WIN
2023-03-22 09:25:00 $0.99 -1.20% -12.14% -12.30% -20.35% -15.95% +2.82% -1.21% -0.02% LOSS
2023-03-21 09:28:00 $1.11 -1.80% -2.25% -1.35% -5.86% -28.68% +3.60% -1.80% -0.90% LOSS
2023-03-20 09:27:00 $1.04 +0.89% +6.80% +13.94% +12.02% +0.96% +16.35% -1.92% - WIN
2023-03-17 09:29:00 $1.34 -2.98% -7.46% -4.58% -7.81% -29.10% +1.49% -11.94% -0.75% LOSS
2022-10-24 09:25:00 $2.25 -2.22% -12.00% -10.89% -11.33% -3.11% +0.44% -0.44% +0.44% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DBD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 39.1% win rate and -0.26% average gain, DBD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DBD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze DBD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DBD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DBD historically offers an average upside of +5.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DBD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 39.1%, DBD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DBD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DBD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.26%). This suggests DBD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.