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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$DLTR

Trade-Ideas alerts 56.9% at 5-min n=51 2022-01-25 → 2026-08-27

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 51 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 06, 1995 🔗 www.dollartree.com
💰 Market Cap: $21.04B 👥 Employees: 153,032
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2025, Dollar Tree generated over $19 billion in sales through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.
Total alerts
51
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
56.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.17%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.55%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading DLTR on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.9%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +3.85%
Worst: -4.09%
Trades: 29/22

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.97%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +7.55%
Worst: -8.24%
Trades: 24/27

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: +7.97%
Worst: -7.51%
Trades: 25/26

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: +8.77%
Worst: -8.04%
Trades: 25/26

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.9%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.38%
Avg Loser: -2.24%
Best: +8.36%
Worst: -10.82%
Trades: 28/22

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.55%
Best MFE: +10.23%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, DLTR alerts reach +2.55% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.93%
Worst MAE: -5.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.93%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.74:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.74x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 51 alerts, DLTR typically reaches +2.55% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 51
Gap Up % 47.1%
Avg Gap +0.05%
Best Gap +3.56%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-VARIETY STORES

How DLTR compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DLTR: +0.17% Sector: -0.02% +0.19%
EOD Gain
DLTR: +0.34% Sector: -5.46% +5.80%
Avg MFE
DLTR: +2.55% Sector: +1.58% +0.97%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DLTR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-27 09:25:00 $120.0 +3.46% +7.55% +7.97% +8.77% +5.83% +10.23% -1.57% +0.00% WIN
2026-07-27 09:25:00 $122.63 -0.11% +1.60% +2.47% +1.70% +2.37% +2.70% -0.60% -0.60% LOSS
2026-07-21 09:25:00 $125.4 +0.17% +1.02% +0.56% +0.30% +0.27% +1.77% -0.05% +0.48% WIN
2026-06-29 09:25:00 $123.87 -0.60% +0.04% +0.17% -0.07% -1.01% +1.07% -1.09% -0.44% LOSS
2026-06-25 09:25:00 $114.7 +0.26% +2.69% +2.92% +4.80% +3.06% +5.12% -0.57% +0.70% WIN
2026-05-29 09:25:00 $113.0 -1.07% +1.03% +1.35% +0.28% +3.04% +3.43% -2.62% -1.76% LOSS
2026-05-28 09:25:00 $112.22 -3.50% -1.09% -0.20% +0.35% +0.70% +2.16% -5.19% -1.08% LOSS
2026-05-27 09:25:00 $93.9 +0.32% +1.18% +1.28% +0.88% +2.10% +3.18% -1.06% +0.52% WIN
2026-05-15 09:25:00 $89.89 +1.64% -0.38% -1.40% -0.79% -0.34% +1.68% -0.12% -0.03% WIN
2026-03-26 09:25:00 $106.64 -0.45% -0.27% +0.78% +0.72% -0.61% +1.62% -1.06% -0.60% LOSS
2026-03-16 09:25:00 $110.63 +1.49% -0.52% +0.93% +2.28% +3.37% +4.38% -1.48% +0.99% WIN
2026-03-02 09:25:00 $124.49 +0.02% -1.36% -2.27% -2.10% -3.70% +0.21% -1.00% -0.10% WIN
2026-02-10 09:25:00 $122.57 +0.11% -0.61% -0.02% +0.70% -0.53% +1.09% -1.42% +0.35% WIN
2026-02-05 09:25:00 $121.1 +0.95% +0.09% +0.24% +0.14% -1.24% +1.43% +0.23% +0.60% WIN
2026-01-14 09:25:00 $137.75 -0.41% +0.97% +0.70% +1.13% +1.84% +2.07% -0.46% -0.34% LOSS
2026-01-06 09:25:00 $128.57 +0.40% +1.66% +1.64% +2.38% +4.05% +5.14% +0.40% +0.53% WIN
2025-01-06 09:29:42 $74.1 +1.86% +2.31% +1.61% +2.47% +3.39% +4.35% +0.21% +0.46% WIN
2024-12-04 09:25:08 $73.41 +0.14% +0.62% +0.53% +0.46% +0.57% +4.17% -0.01% +3.56% WIN
2024-11-26 09:28:03 $69.16 -1.11% -1.14% -1.32% -1.58% -0.06% +0.33% -1.98% -0.16% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:26:41 $64.01 +1.42% +0.69% +1.46% +2.53% +4.05% +4.25% -0.70% +1.17% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 56.9% Baseline on DLTR

The 56.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push DLTR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DLTR Strategy →

Why Analyze DLTR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DLTR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DLTR historically offers an average upside of +2.55% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DLTR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.9%, DLTR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DLTR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.17%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.