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DRI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-24 → 2024-11-21

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Darden Restaurants, Inc. RETAIL-EATING PLACES (SIC 5812)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 15, 1995 🔗 www.darden.com
💰 Market Cap: $23.74B 👥 Employees: 197,924
Darden Restaurants is the largest restaurant operator in the US full-service space, with consolidated revenue of $12.1 billion in fiscal 2025. The company maintains a portfolio of 11 restaurant brands: Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen, Ruth's Chris Steak House, Yard House, The Capital Grille, Seasons 52, Eddie V's, Bahama Breeze, The Capital Burger, and Chuy's. Darden generates revenue almost exclusively from company-owned restaurants, though a small network of franchised restaurants and consumer-packaged goods sales through the traditional grocery channel contribute modestly. At the end of fiscal 2025, the company operated 2,159 restaurants in the US.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
57.1%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.15%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.50%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +2.02%
Worst: -2.33%
Trades: 3/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +1.87%
Worst: -2.58%
Trades: 3/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -1.79%
Best: +2.17%
Worst: -3.10%
Trades: 4/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +2.11%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: +3.09%
Worst: -3.75%
Trades: 4/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.71%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -1.10%
Best: +3.81%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 4/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.15%
Best MFE: +4.58%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, DRI alerts reach +2.15% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.68%
Worst MAE: -1.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.68%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.16:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.16x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, DRI typically reaches +2.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 28.6%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.95%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES

How DRI compares to 27 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DRI: -0.10% Sector: -0.12% +0.02%
EOD Gain
DRI: +0.71% Sector: +6.34% -5.63%
Avg MFE
DRI: +2.15% Sector: +2.99% -0.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DRI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-21 09:27:02 $163.33 -0.74% -0.64% -0.23% -0.29% +0.75% +0.90% -1.24% -0.84% LOSS
2024-09-19 09:28:27 $174.16 -2.33% -2.58% -2.05% -2.20% -1.09% -0.03% -0.03% -0.37% LOSS
2024-03-21 09:28:46 $163.55 +0.98% +0.29% +0.30% +1.18% -0.19% +2.77% +0.43% +0.72% WIN
2023-12-15 09:29:00 $156.52 +1.49% +1.09% +1.94% +3.09% +3.81% +4.24% -1.92% -0.72% WIN
2023-06-22 09:28:00 $161.0 -0.29% -0.04% +0.79% +1.50% +0.70% +2.55% -1.15% - LOSS
2022-06-23 09:25:00 $117.99 -1.86% -0.58% -3.10% -3.75% -2.03% +0.02% -0.86% -0.97% LOSS
2022-03-24 09:25:00 $128.5 +2.02% +1.87% +2.17% +2.68% +3.04% +4.58% +0.02% +1.95% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DRI Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 57.1% win rate, DRI has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making DRI profitable.

🔧 Fix DRI Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze DRI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DRI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DRI historically offers an average upside of +2.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DRI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.1%, DRI shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.79%) outweigh average wins (+1.30%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DRI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.02%). This suggests DRI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.