FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

ETHW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-07-24 → 2025-01-03

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Bitwise Ethereum ETF FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jul 23, 2024
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.15%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.34%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -0.20%
Best: +0.40%
Worst: -0.20%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: -0.16%
Best: +0.44%
Worst: -0.16%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +0.36%
Worst: -0.84%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +0.71%
Worst: -0.64%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +2.42%
Avg Loser: -1.99%
Best: +2.42%
Worst: -3.06%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.34%
Best MFE: +3.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, ETHW alerts reach +1.34% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.62%
Worst MAE: -1.59%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.16:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.16x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, ETHW typically reaches +1.34% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +0.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How ETHW compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ETHW: +0.15% Sector: -0.22% +0.37%
EOD Gain
ETHW: -0.52% Sector: +101.11% -101.63%
Avg MFE
ETHW: +1.34% Sector: +5.23% -3.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ETHW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-03 09:26:36 $25.23 +0.40% +0.44% +0.36% +0.71% +2.42% +3.29% -0.12% +0.04% WIN
2024-07-25 09:26:23 $22.63 +0.27% +0.27% -0.09% -0.31% -0.93% +0.71% -1.59% +0.22% WIN
2024-07-24 09:27:58 $24.91 -0.20% -0.16% -0.84% -0.64% -3.06% +0.04% -0.16% +0.04% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on ETHW

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ETHW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ETHW Strategy →

Why Analyze ETHW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ETHW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ETHW historically offers an average upside of +1.34% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ETHW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, ETHW shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ETHW performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.15%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.