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EXTR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-19 → 2023-11-01

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 09, 1999 🔗 www.extremenetworks.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.97B 👥 Employees: 2,811
Extreme Networks Inc provides AI-powered cloud networking, focused on delivering simple and secure solutions that help businesses address challenges and enable connections among devices, applications, and users. The group designs, develops, and manufactures wired, wireless, and software-defined wide area network (SD-WAN) infrastructure equipment. It has one reportable segment, the development, marketing, and sale of network infrastructure equipment and related software. The Company operates in three geographical areas: Americas, EMEA, and APAC.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.38%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+7.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.38%
Avg Winner: +10.00%
Avg Loser: -7.23%
Best: +10.00%
Worst: -7.23%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +9.91%
Avg Loser: -8.76%
Best: +9.91%
Worst: -8.76%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +3.72%
Avg Winner: +13.73%
Avg Loser: -6.28%
Best: +13.73%
Worst: -6.28%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.41%
Avg Winner: +7.76%
Avg Loser: -2.93%
Best: +7.76%
Worst: -2.93%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +3.30%
Avg Winner: +8.24%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +8.24%
Worst: -1.65%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.67%
Best MFE: +14.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 15 min

On average, EXTR alerts reach +7.67% profit potential within 15 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.03%
Worst MAE: -0.61%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.03%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

235.96:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 235.96x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, EXTR typically reaches +7.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.26%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

How EXTR compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EXTR: +1.38% Sector: +0.00% +1.38%
EOD Gain
EXTR: +3.30% Sector: +22.20% -18.90%
Avg MFE
EXTR: +7.67% Sector: +2.25% +5.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EXTR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-01 09:29:00 $16.5 +10.00% +9.91% +13.73% +7.76% +8.24% +14.61% -0.61% - WIN
2023-04-19 09:28:00 $16.39 -7.23% -8.76% -6.28% -2.93% -1.65% +0.73% +0.67% -0.51% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on EXTR

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push EXTR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EXTR Strategy →

Why Analyze EXTR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EXTR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EXTR historically offers an average upside of +7.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EXTR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, EXTR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EXTR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.38%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.