Latest signal:
GAP Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-08-29 → 2024-12-02
⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, GAP alerts reach +1.48% profit potential within 36 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.34%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, GAP typically reaches +1.48% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES
How GAP compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical GAP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-02 | 09:27:21 | $25.36 | -0.35% | -0.28% | +2.01% | +1.14% | +1.77% | +3.47% | -1.93% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-25 | 09:28:58 | $25.22 | -0.69% | -1.11% | -1.49% | +0.09% | -1.55% | +1.27% | -0.40% | +0.48% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-22 | 09:29:57 | $25.75 | -5.28% | -6.49% | -7.57% | -9.12% | -3.42% | +0.54% | -2.87% | +0.19% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-29 | 09:26:04 | $24.54 | -2.20% | -7.64% | -9.35% | - | -7.09% | +0.65% | -0.16% | -0.16% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ GAP Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 66.7% win rate, GAP has -2.63% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making GAP profitable.
🔧 Fix GAP Risk/Reward →Why Analyze GAP with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GAP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, GAP historically offers an average upside of +1.48% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 GAP Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, GAP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-9.12%) outweigh average wins (+0.62%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: GAP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -2.63%). This suggests GAP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.