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GM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 335 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-03

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 18, 2010 🔗 www.gm.com
💰 Market Cap: $74.33B 👥 Employees: 162,000
General Motors Co. emerged from the bankruptcy of General Motors Corp. (old GM) in July 2009. GM has eight brands and operates under three segments: GM North America, GM International, and GM Financial. The United States now has four brands instead of eight under old GM. The company regained its US market share leadership in 2022, after losing it to Toyota due to the chip shortage in 2021. 2025 US share was 17.5%. The Cruise autonomous vehicle arm, which GM now owns outright, previously operated driverless geofenced AV robotaxi services in San Francisco and other cities, but after a 2023 accident, GM decided that it will focus on personal AVs. GM Financial became the company's captive finance arm in 2010 via the purchase of AmeriCredit.
📊
335
Total Alerts
🎯
55.5%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.61%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.5%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +4.54%
Worst: -3.42%
Trades: 186/148

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.4%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +4.71%
Worst: -3.41%
Trades: 152/180

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +5.79%
Worst: -5.21%
Trades: 158/176

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +5.91%
Worst: -5.37%
Trades: 155/178

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -1.71%
Best: +7.33%
Worst: -5.66%
Trades: 154/181

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.61%
Best MFE: +8.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, GM alerts reach +1.61% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.66%
Worst MAE: -4.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.44:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.44x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 335 alerts, GM typically reaches +1.61% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 335
Gap Up % 44.8%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +3.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES

How GM compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GM: +0.05% Sector: -0.18% +0.23%
EOD Gain
GM: -0.14% Sector: +1047.62% -1047.76%
Avg MFE
GM: +1.61% Sector: +2.85% -1.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:26:34 $45.88 +2.48% +1.50% +2.27% +5.91% +4.40% +7.30% -0.28% +1.35% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:40 $49.42 +2.48% +2.32% +2.02% +2.12% +0.08% +4.67% +0.16% +0.51% WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:35 $50.3 -1.49% -1.25% -0.58% -1.01% -1.03% +0.62% -0.14% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:13 $51.94 -3.42% -3.41% -3.28% -3.62% -3.66% +0.40% -2.00% -1.85% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:04 $53.66 -1.86% -1.87% -1.90% -1.70% -1.68% -0.06% -0.24% -0.61% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:11 $51.86 +0.07% -0.65% -0.06% +0.79% +3.91% +4.24% -1.10% -0.14% WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:27 $52.34 +1.38% +1.78% +2.81% +2.44% +2.27% +3.93% -0.17% +0.80% WIN
2024-12-04 09:26:38 $53.49 +0.34% -0.86% -0.02% -0.93% -0.24% +0.64% +0.02% +0.24% WIN
2024-12-02 09:25:45 $55.29 +0.20% -0.77% -0.52% -0.38% -0.45% +0.60% -0.07% +0.38% WIN
2024-11-26 09:27:00 $57.0 +0.79% -1.53% -2.32% -1.54% -3.88% +2.32% -1.28% +1.14% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:31 $54.18 +1.35% +1.18% -0.54% -0.66% +1.61% +2.21% -1.92% +0.55% WIN
2024-11-01 09:26:25 $51.27 -0.37% - +0.70% +0.45% -0.60% +0.99% -0.60% -0.23% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:26:15 $51.91 +0.31% -0.46% -0.45% -0.55% -2.22% +0.40% -0.42% -0.31% WIN
2024-10-24 09:28:26 $53.56 +0.29% +0.26% -0.63% -0.27% -1.57% +1.37% +0.06% +0.17% WIN
2024-10-23 09:29:53 $54.0 -0.23% -0.76% -1.26% -1.40% -2.00% +0.35% -0.96% +0.09% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:28:56 $50.06 +2.46% +4.71% +5.79% +4.85% +7.33% +8.22% -0.14% -0.08% WIN
2024-10-01 09:28:49 $45.15 +0.13% -0.40% -0.84% -1.38% -0.60% +0.73% -0.15% - WIN
2024-09-30 09:25:14 $44.54 +2.45% +1.08% +1.28% +1.78% +0.67% +3.05% +0.11% +0.85% WIN
2024-09-25 09:26:49 $46.13 +0.34% -1.84% -2.06% -1.50% -0.87% +0.67% -0.63% -0.39% WIN
2024-09-23 09:29:16 $47.5 +1.14% -0.17% -0.51% -0.16% +1.14% +1.64% +0.08% +0.21% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.5% Baseline on GM

The 55.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GM Strategy →

Why Analyze GM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GM historically offers an average upside of +1.61% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.5%, GM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GM performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.