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GXO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-14 → 2024-10-10

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 22, 2021 🔗 www.gxo.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.57B 👥 Employees: 152,000
GXO Logistics Inc is a contract logistics company. Its revenue is diversified across numerous verticals and customers, including many multinational corporations. It provides warehousing and distribution, order fulfillment, e-commerce, reverse logistics, and other supply chain services differentiated by its ability to deliver technology-enabled, customized solutions at scale. Geographically, it generates revenue from the United Kingdom, the United States, the Netherlands, France, Spain, Italy, and other countries, and derives the majority of its revenue from the United Kingdom.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.59%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +0.67%
Worst: -0.50%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.59%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +3.10%
Worst: -2.82%
Trades: 3/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +2.71%
Worst: -4.18%
Trades: 3/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +2.73%
Worst: -3.32%
Trades: 3/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.50%
Avg Winner: +2.12%
Avg Loser: -1.93%
Best: +3.47%
Worst: -2.83%
Trades: 3/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.11%
Best MFE: +4.43%
Avg Time to MFE: 88 min

On average, GXO alerts reach +2.11% profit potential within 88 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.93%
Worst MAE: -1.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 34 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.93%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, GXO typically reaches +2.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 20.0%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +1.62%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TRANSPORTATION SERVICES

How GXO compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GXO: -0.05% Sector: -0.21% +0.17%
EOD Gain
GXO: +0.50% Sector: +900.40% -899.90%
Avg MFE
GXO: +2.11% Sector: +3.46% -1.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GXO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-10 09:29:12 $56.46 -0.30% +3.10% +2.71% +2.73% +2.85% +4.43% -1.35% -0.73% LOSS
2023-09-15 09:27:00 $60.86 -0.17% -0.47% +0.21% +0.01% -1.04% +0.31% -0.53% -0.02% LOSS
2022-07-08 09:25:00 $44.52 -0.50% -2.82% -4.18% -3.32% -2.83% -0.34% -1.50% -1.50% LOSS
2022-06-14 09:25:00 $48.17 +0.67% +1.91% +1.25% -0.08% +0.04% +2.51% +0.67% +1.62% WIN
2022-04-14 09:25:00 $57.31 +0.07% +1.22% -0.05% +0.41% +3.47% +3.62% -1.95% -0.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on GXO

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GXO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GXO Strategy →

Why Analyze GXO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GXO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GXO historically offers an average upside of +2.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GXO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, GXO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GXO performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.59%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.