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JACK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-08 → 2022-07-08

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Jack in the Box Inc. RETAIL-EATING PLACES (SIC 5812)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 01, 1992 🔗 www.jackinthebox.com
💰 Market Cap: $404.2M 👥 Employees: 5,046
Jack In The Box Inc operates quick-service restaurants and fast-casual restaurants across various states in the United States of America. Its core business includes the Jack in the Box hamburger chain, known for a broad menu that features hamburgers, tacos, sandwiches, salads, and breakfast items. The company also operates the Del Taco brand, which offers a variety of both Mexican and American favorites such as burritos and fries. These foods are available with the option of customization as per customer requirements. The company also offers catering and delivery services to its customers. Jack in the Box and Del Taco restaurant brands are the two reportable operating segments, of which, Jack in the Box generates maximum revenue for the company.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.97%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.97%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: -0.97%
Worst: -0.97%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.02%
Best: -0.02%
Worst: -0.02%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.96%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: -0.96%
Worst: -0.96%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.54%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: -1.54%
Worst: -1.54%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.55%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: -1.55%
Worst: -1.55%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.07%
Best MFE: +1.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, JACK alerts reach +1.07% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.83%
Worst MAE: -2.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 46 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.83%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.38:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, JACK typically reaches +1.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.88%
Best Gap -0.88%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES

How JACK compares to 27 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
JACK: -0.97% Sector: -0.12% -0.84%
EOD Gain
JACK: -1.55% Sector: +6.34% -7.89%
Avg MFE
JACK: +1.07% Sector: +2.99% -1.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JACK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-07-08 09:25:00 $60.53 -0.97% -0.02% -0.96% -1.54% -1.55% +1.07% -2.83% -0.88% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ JACK Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -0.97% average gain, JACK alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider JACK for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze JACK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JACK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JACK historically offers an average upside of +1.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JACK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, JACK shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests JACK may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: JACK shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.97%). This suggests JACK is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.