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KD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-09 → 2023-08-08

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 22, 2021 🔗 www.kyndryl.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.54B 👥 Employees: 73,000
Kyndryl Holdings Inc is a technology services and infrastructure services provider company. It provides advisory, implementation, and managed services across a range of technology domains to help customers manage and modernize enterprise IT environments in support of their business and transformation objectives. The company's reportable segments consist of the following: Principal Markets which represents its operations in operations in Australia / New Zealand, Canada, France, Germany, India, Italy, Spain, Portugal, and the United Kingdom / Ireland, United States, Japan, and Strategic Markets. It derives maximum revenue from the United States.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.53%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.83%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +1.30%
Worst: -0.71%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.07%
Avg Winner: +3.68%
Avg Loser: -3.44%
Best: +3.68%
Worst: -4.49%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +3.79%
Avg Loser: -2.46%
Best: +3.79%
Worst: -3.28%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -3.10%
Best: +1.39%
Worst: -3.10%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +0.74%
Worst: -2.11%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.83%
Best MFE: +7.19%
Avg Time to MFE: 82 min

On average, KD alerts reach +4.83% profit potential within 82 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.81%
Worst MAE: -6.25%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.81%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.0:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, KD typically reaches +4.83% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.29%
Best Gap +1.72%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN

How KD compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KD: +0.12% Sector: -0.04% +0.16%
EOD Gain
KD: -0.52% Sector: +3632.71% -3633.24%
Avg MFE
KD: +4.83% Sector: +5.44% -0.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-08 09:26:00 $14.79 -0.71% +3.68% +3.79% +1.39% -0.20% +4.80% -3.92% -1.96% LOSS
2023-05-17 09:29:00 $12.8 -0.23% -4.49% -1.63% +0.12% -2.11% +7.19% -6.25% +1.72% LOSS
2022-08-09 09:25:00 $10.81 +1.30% -2.40% -3.28% -3.10% +0.74% +2.50% -4.26% +1.11% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ KD Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, KD has -0.53% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making KD profitable.

🔧 Fix KD Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze KD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KD historically offers an average upside of +4.83% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, KD shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.10%) outweigh average wins (+0.75%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: KD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.53%). This suggests KD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.