Latest signal:
KMX Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 15 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-12 → 2024-12-19
⚠️ Small sample size (15 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, KMX alerts reach +3.70% profit potential within 102 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.68%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.45x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, KMX typically reaches +3.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS
How KMX compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical KMX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-19 | 09:29:37 | $90.39 | -2.81% | -5.42% | -6.47% | -6.33% | -6.81% | +0.95% | -0.29% | +0.95% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-26 | 09:27:39 | $72.2 | +3.63% | +6.77% | +7.62% | +9.93% | +8.32% | +10.40% | -0.26% | +1.09% | WIN |
| 2024-06-21 | 09:26:25 | $73.02 | -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.52% | -0.84% | -1.90% | +2.51% | -0.36% | +0.99% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-30 | 09:26:15 | $68.34 | -0.07% | -1.05% | -1.05% | -0.18% | -0.54% | +0.93% | -1.14% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-11 | 09:29:08 | $72.74 | -0.67% | -3.20% | -3.29% | -5.30% | -1.04% | +2.36% | -0.59% | +0.88% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-27 | 09:25:00 | $76.48 | -0.55% | +0.50% | +0.56% | +0.76% | +1.99% | +2.37% | -0.65% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-21 | 09:28:00 | $82.9 | -1.13% | -3.48% | -3.04% | -3.93% | -5.25% | +1.74% | -0.24% | +1.57% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-28 | 09:27:00 | $69.8 | +4.00% | +1.75% | +2.06% | +2.41% | -1.13% | +5.04% | -0.43% | +0.85% | WIN |
| 2023-08-10 | 09:26:00 | $85.14 | -0.57% | -1.20% | -0.48% | +0.04% | -2.30% | +0.21% | -1.33% | -0.33% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-23 | 09:27:00 | $83.25 | +2.01% | +2.22% | +2.47% | +2.32% | +3.56% | +4.58% | -0.30% | +1.15% | WIN |
| 2023-04-11 | 09:29:00 | $69.5 | +1.16% | +2.17% | +2.99% | +3.25% | +3.90% | +5.86% | -0.55% | +0.21% | WIN |
| 2023-03-24 | 09:29:00 | $56.73 | +0.51% | +0.02% | +0.46% | +0.76% | +1.85% | +2.26% | -1.50% | -0.95% | WIN |
| 2022-12-22 | 09:25:00 | $52.2 | +1.15% | +2.85% | +3.95% | +4.78% | +9.58% | +9.73% | -0.38% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2022-09-29 | 09:25:00 | $73.33 | +2.48% | -3.94% | -8.46% | -7.92% | -11.14% | +3.63% | -0.04% | +0.57% | WIN |
| 2022-04-12 | 09:25:00 | $98.59 | -1.12% | -1.45% | -1.38% | +1.00% | -5.34% | +2.95% | -2.12% | +1.05% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on KMX
The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KMX's performance to 75%+.
Optimize KMX Strategy →Why Analyze KMX with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KMX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, KMX historically offers an average upside of +3.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 KMX Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, KMX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KMX performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.