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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$KMX

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.0% at 5-min n=20 2022-04-12 → 2026-09-29

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 20 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 04, 1997 🔗 www.carmax.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.80B 👥 Employees: 27,796
CarMax sells, finances, and services used and new cars through a chain of over 255 retail stores. It was formed in 1993 as a unit of Circuit City and spun off into an independent company in late 2002. Used-vehicle sales were 80% of fiscal 2026 revenue and wholesale about 17%, with the remaining portion composed of extended service plans and repair. In fiscal 2026, the company retailed and wholesaled 780,684 and 538,203 used vehicles, respectively. CarMax is the largest used-vehicle retailer in the US, but still estimates that it had only about 3.6% US market share of vehicles zero to 10 years old in calendar 2025. CarMax is based in Richmond, Virginia.
Total alerts
20
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.28%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.31%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading KMX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +4.00%
Worst: -5.83%
Trades: 10/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +2.25%
Avg Loser: -2.70%
Best: +6.77%
Worst: -6.58%
Trades: 8/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -3.22%
Best: +7.62%
Worst: -8.46%
Trades: 8/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +2.76%
Avg Loser: -3.87%
Best: +9.93%
Worst: -7.92%
Trades: 10/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -1.41%
Avg Winner: +4.87%
Avg Loser: -4.10%
Best: +9.58%
Worst: -11.14%
Trades: 6/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.31%
Best MFE: +10.40%
Avg Time to MFE: 78 min

On average, KMX alerts reach +3.31% profit potential within 78 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.66%
Worst MAE: -2.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.99:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.99x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, KMX typically reaches +3.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 20
Gap Up % 65.0%
Avg Gap +0.31%
Best Gap +1.57%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS

How KMX compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KMX: +0.28% Sector: -0.39% +0.67%
EOD Gain
KMX: -1.41% Sector: +2846.71% -2848.12%
Avg MFE
KMX: +3.31% Sector: +6.24% -2.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KMX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $59.74 +3.27% +1.71% +2.67% +2.30% -0.85% +6.58% -0.42% +1.12% WIN
2026-06-17 09:25:00 $50.1 -1.28% -3.39% -1.89% -2.37% -5.33% +2.20% -1.04% -0.26% LOSS
2026-04-15 09:25:00 $41.64 +0.05% -1.13% -2.70% -0.82% -2.71% +0.05% -0.10% -0.10% WIN
2026-04-14 09:25:00 $45.43 -5.83% -6.58% -6.17% -7.00% -8.30% +0.13% -1.47% -2.77% LOSS
2026-03-11 09:25:00 $44.63 +1.35% -1.59% -3.22% -3.96% -4.76% +1.82% -0.06% +0.39% WIN
2024-12-19 09:29:37 $90.39 -2.81% -5.42% -6.47% -6.33% -6.81% +0.95% -0.29% +0.95% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:27:39 $72.2 +3.63% +6.77% +7.62% +9.93% +8.32% +10.40% -0.26% +1.09% WIN
2024-06-21 09:26:25 $73.02 -0.01% -0.01% -0.52% -0.84% -1.90% +2.51% -0.36% +0.99% LOSS
2024-04-30 09:26:15 $68.34 -0.07% -1.05% -1.05% -0.18% -0.54% +0.93% -1.14% +0.12% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:29:08 $72.74 -0.67% -3.20% -3.29% -5.30% -1.04% +2.36% -0.59% +0.88% LOSS
2023-12-27 09:25:00 $76.48 -0.55% +0.50% +0.56% +0.76% +1.99% +2.37% -0.65% -0.13% LOSS
2023-12-21 09:28:00 $82.9 -1.13% -3.48% -3.04% -3.93% -5.25% +1.74% -0.24% +1.57% LOSS
2023-09-28 09:27:00 $69.8 +4.00% +1.75% +2.06% +2.41% -1.13% +5.04% -0.43% +0.85% WIN
2023-08-10 09:26:00 $85.14 -0.57% -1.20% -0.48% +0.04% -2.30% +0.21% -1.33% -0.33% LOSS
2023-06-23 09:27:00 $83.25 +2.01% +2.22% +2.47% +2.32% +3.56% +4.58% -0.30% +1.15% WIN
2023-04-11 09:29:00 $69.5 +1.16% +2.17% +2.99% +3.25% +3.90% +5.86% -0.55% +0.21% WIN
2023-03-24 09:29:00 $56.73 +0.51% +0.02% +0.46% +0.76% +1.85% +2.26% -1.50% -0.95% WIN
2022-12-22 09:25:00 $52.2 +1.15% +2.85% +3.95% +4.78% +9.58% +9.73% -0.38% -0.19% WIN
2022-09-29 09:25:00 $73.33 +2.48% -3.94% -8.46% -7.92% -11.14% +3.63% -0.04% +0.57% WIN
2022-04-12 09:25:00 $98.59 -1.12% -1.45% -1.38% +1.00% -5.34% +2.95% -2.12% +1.05% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 50.0% Baseline on KMX

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push KMX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KMX Strategy →

Why Analyze KMX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KMX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KMX historically offers an average upside of +3.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KMX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, KMX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KMX performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.28%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.