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LDOS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-04 → 2022-11-23

⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 13, 2006 🔗 www.leidos.com
💰 Market Cap: $24.45B 👥 Employees: 48,000
Leidos Holdings Inc is a technology, engineering, and science company that provides services and solutions in the defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets, both domestically and internationally. Company customer includes the U.S. Department of Defense ("DoD"), the U.S. Intelligence Community, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security ("DHS"), the Federal Aviation Administration ("FAA"), the Department of Veterans Affairs ("VA"), and many other U.S. civilian, state and local government agencies, etc. The company is engaged in four reportable segments; National Security & Digital, Health & Civil, Commercial & International and Defense Systems. It provides a wide array of scientific, engineering and technical services and solutions across these reportable segments.
📊
13
Total Alerts
🎯
69.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.28%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.96%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +0.86%
Worst: -2.16%
Trades: 4/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +1.48%
Worst: -1.91%
Trades: 4/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.49%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -1.13%
Best: +1.31%
Worst: -2.29%
Trades: 4/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: -1.08%
Best: +1.86%
Worst: -2.28%
Trades: 4/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 69.2%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +2.32%
Worst: -1.96%
Trades: 9/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.96%
Best MFE: +3.26%
Avg Time to MFE: 250 min

On average, LDOS alerts reach +0.96% profit potential within 250 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.90%
Worst MAE: -2.85%
Avg Time to MAE: 41 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.90%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.07:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, LDOS typically reaches +0.96% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 38.5%
Avg Gap -0.26%
Best Gap +0.86%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN

How LDOS compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LDOS: -0.11% Sector: -0.04% -0.08%
EOD Gain
LDOS: +0.38% Sector: +3632.71% -3632.33%
Avg MFE
LDOS: +1.10% Sector: +5.44% -4.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LDOS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-11-23 09:25:00 $107.47 -0.19% -0.49% -0.44% -0.49% +0.06% +0.37% -0.72% -0.23% LOSS
2022-11-16 09:25:00 $104.69 +0.64% +0.93% +0.83% +1.78% +1.26% +2.16% +0.29% +0.31% WIN
2022-09-07 09:25:00 $95.9 -2.16% - -2.29% -2.28% -0.93% -0.62% -2.63% -2.16% LOSS
2022-09-01 09:25:00 $95.05 -0.06% -0.28% -0.25% -0.63% +0.01% +0.28% -0.84% -0.19% LOSS
2022-08-29 09:25:00 $97.2 -1.11% -1.22% -1.43% -1.19% +0.03% +0.76% -1.74% -0.54% LOSS
2022-08-03 09:25:00 $100.48 -0.29% -0.94% -0.88% -1.11% -0.54% +0.15% -0.37% +0.15% LOSS
2022-07-21 09:25:00 $100.03 -0.03% -0.37% -0.13% -0.62% +0.86% +0.92% -0.70% -0.03% LOSS
2022-07-19 09:25:00 $97.88 +0.44% +0.64% +0.93% +1.48% +2.32% +2.42% -0.11% +0.44% WIN
2022-06-24 09:25:00 $99.98 -1.44% -1.91% -1.46% -0.39% +1.59% +1.85% -2.07% -1.44% LOSS
2022-06-23 09:25:00 $97.44 +0.86% +1.48% +0.69% +0.57% +0.10% +1.50% +0.75% +0.86% WIN
2022-03-01 09:25:00 $102.5 +0.56% +1.08% +1.31% +1.86% +2.20% +3.26% +0.01% +0.23% WIN
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $89.11 -0.13% -1.45% -1.40% -0.98% -1.96% - -0.79% -0.13% LOSS
2022-02-04 09:25:00 $90.33 -0.60% -1.11% -1.89% -2.03% -1.39% -0.52% -2.85% -0.60% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 69.2% Baseline on LDOS

The 69.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LDOS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LDOS Strategy →

Why Analyze LDOS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LDOS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LDOS historically offers an average upside of +0.96% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LDOS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 69.2%, LDOS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LDOS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.28%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.