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MGLD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-11 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Marygold Companies, Inc. FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Dec 05, 1996 🔗 www.themarygoldcompanies.com
💰 Market Cap: $46.1M 👥 Employees: 116
The Marygold Companies Inc is an international holding company focused on acquiring and growing profitable businesses. Its main segments include U.S. Fund Management through USCF Investments, Food Products via Gourmet Foods and Printstock Products in New Zealand, Beauty Products under the Original Sprout brand, and formerly Security Systems through Brigadier, sold in 2025. The majority of revenue comes from fund management. The company operates in the USA, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and Canada, with the majority of revenue generated from the USA. Its business approach focuses on strengthening financial services, expanding fintech, and managing a diverse portfolio for growth.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.19%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+14.50%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +3.25%
Avg Loser: -2.26%
Best: +5.45%
Worst: -3.71%
Trades: 4/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.55%
Avg Winner: +9.74%
Avg Loser: -4.04%
Best: +25.97%
Worst: -5.50%
Trades: 3/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +3.24%
Avg Winner: +24.10%
Avg Loser: -7.18%
Best: +69.61%
Worst: -14.68%
Trades: 3/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -1.96%
Avg Winner: +25.41%
Avg Loser: -11.41%
Best: +49.78%
Worst: -20.62%
Trades: 2/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -5.95%
Avg Winner: +4.04%
Avg Loser: -10.95%
Best: +6.75%
Worst: -30.10%
Trades: 3/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +14.50%
Best MFE: +84.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 36 min

On average, MGLD alerts reach +14.50% profit potential within 36 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.80%
Worst MAE: -7.84%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, MGLD typically reaches +14.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap +0.19%
Best Gap +5.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How MGLD compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MGLD: +0.19% Sector: -0.22% +0.41%
EOD Gain
MGLD: -5.95% Sector: +101.11% -107.06%
Avg MFE
MGLD: +14.50% Sector: +5.23% +9.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MGLD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:25:07 $1.09 +2.75% +2.75% +0.84% - +0.92% +5.50% - +5.50% WIN
2022-06-03 09:25:00 $1.83 -3.33% -2.19% -1.64% -13.66% -3.83% +6.01% -4.37% -4.37% LOSS
2022-03-24 09:25:00 $2.02 +5.45% +0.49% +1.83% +1.04% +4.46% +8.91% -2.97% -2.97% WIN
2022-03-23 09:25:00 $2.04 -1.95% -3.93% -5.39% -2.45% -2.94% +15.20% -7.84% -0.49% LOSS
2022-03-17 09:25:00 $2.28 -0.43% -4.39% -5.70% -7.89% -3.51% - -0.44% - LOSS
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $2.65 -1.89% -4.72% -7.74% -10.40% -12.45% +0.38% -1.89% - LOSS
2022-03-15 09:25:00 $3.27 +0.92% -5.50% -14.68% -13.46% -12.84% +3.67% -0.31% +2.75% WIN
2022-03-14 09:25:00 $4.85 -3.71% -3.50% -7.94% -20.62% -30.10% +6.19% -4.54% - LOSS
2022-03-11 09:25:00 $3.85 +3.90% +25.97% +69.61% +49.78% +6.75% +84.68% -2.86% +1.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 44.4% Baseline on MGLD

The 44.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MGLD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MGLD Strategy →

Why Analyze MGLD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MGLD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MGLD historically offers an average upside of +14.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MGLD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, MGLD shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MGLD performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.