Latest signal:
MSTR Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 192 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MSTR alerts reach +5.02% profit potential within 153 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.83%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.74x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 192 alerts, MSTR typically reaches +5.02% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES
How MSTR compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MSTR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:26:34 | $325.4 | +0.67% | +1.06% | +0.67% | -0.06% | +3.79% | +5.99% | -0.52% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:29:18 | $325.55 | -0.46% | -0.50% | -0.43% | +0.23% | -0.19% | +1.55% | -1.34% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:28:36 | $315.7 | +0.55% | +1.30% | +1.65% | +1.06% | +3.52% | +4.90% | -0.48% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:28:12 | $332.35 | -0.66% | +0.11% | +1.13% | -0.01% | -3.88% | +1.85% | -0.99% | +0.19% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:28:43 | $333.9 | +1.78% | +0.72% | -0.17% | -0.03% | +0.22% | +1.94% | -0.51% | -0.12% | WIN |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:26:48 | $334.81 | +2.47% | +1.88% | +0.60% | -0.01% | -2.17% | +2.86% | -1.19% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:29:02 | $339.0 | +0.61% | -2.26% | -1.82% | -0.47% | -3.99% | +1.62% | -2.03% | -0.09% | WIN |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:27:18 | $349.61 | -0.78% | -0.95% | -1.71% | -1.18% | -3.69% | +0.79% | -0.20% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:25:05 | $341.93 | +0.34% | +2.24% | +2.52% | +1.60% | +1.87% | +3.47% | -0.44% | -0.21% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:27:19 | $309.49 | +1.93% | +4.04% | +3.23% | +6.10% | +12.15% | +12.72% | -0.19% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:46 | $340.21 | -1.01% | -0.95% | -0.21% | +0.97% | -1.59% | +3.67% | -1.92% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:29:00 | $345.87 | +1.52% | +0.76% | +1.92% | +0.04% | -1.67% | +2.96% | -0.33% | -0.01% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:29:26 | $337.73 | -0.07% | -0.10% | -0.28% | -0.44% | +1.04% | +1.75% | -2.49% | +0.14% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:27:28 | $344.55 | +0.54% | -1.76% | -0.04% | +0.13% | -2.50% | +1.27% | -0.55% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:29:53 | $340.4 | -0.43% | +0.82% | +3.56% | +1.89% | +2.21% | +4.84% | -0.82% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:25:47 | $377.51 | -1.25% | -0.79% | -1.43% | -1.44% | -6.32% | +0.17% | +0.05% | +0.04% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:27:33 | $371.38 | +2.97% | +3.31% | +3.41% | +3.00% | +0.47% | +5.07% | -0.18% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:26:13 | $384.27 | +1.03% | +0.24% | +0.22% | -0.80% | -1.81% | +1.58% | -1.82% | +0.17% | WIN |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:28:18 | $394.66 | -1.86% | -4.09% | -4.24% | -5.42% | -1.41% | +2.47% | -6.82% | +0.20% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:25:16 | $382.82 | -0.05% | +1.88% | +1.59% | +1.55% | +3.57% | +4.14% | -0.70% | +0.12% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 58.9% Baseline on MSTR
The 58.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MSTR's performance to 75%+.
Optimize MSTR Strategy →Why Analyze MSTR with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MSTR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MSTR historically offers an average upside of +5.02% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MSTR Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 58.9%, MSTR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MSTR performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.51%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.