Latest signal: July 02, 2024

NATL Stock Analysis

Name: NATL Trading Alert Analysis
Creator: FILTRIX

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-05-01 → 2024-07-02

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

NCR Atleos Corporation CALCULATING & ACCOUNTING MACHINES (NO ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS) (SIC 3578)

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 11, 2023 🔗 www.ncratleos.com

💰 Market Cap: $2.78B 👥 Employees: 20,000

NCR Atleos Corp is financial technology company providing self-directed banking solutions to a customer base including financial institutions, merchants, manufacturers, retailers and consumers. Self-directed banking is a rapidly growing, secular trend that allows banking customers to transact seamlessly between various channels all for the same transaction. Their comprehensive solutions enable the acceleration of self-directed banking through ATM and interactive teller machine (ITM) technology, including software, services, hardware and its proprietary Allpoint network. Atleos manage its operations in the following segments which includes Self-Service Banking, Network, and Telecommunications abd Technology.

📊

Total Alerts

🎯

100.0%

Win Rate (5MIN)

💰

+0.43%

Avg Gain (5MIN)

🚀

+2.75%

Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%

Avg Gain: +0.43%

Avg Winner: +0.43%

Avg Loser: +0.00%

Best: +0.48%

Worst: +0.37%

Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%

Avg Gain: +0.05%

Avg Winner: +0.18%

Avg Loser: -0.20%

Best: +0.22%

Worst: -0.20%

Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%

Avg Gain: +0.19%

Avg Winner: +1.40%

Avg Loser: -0.42%

Best: +1.40%

Worst: -0.51%

Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%

Avg Gain: +0.89%

Avg Winner: +0.89%

Avg Loser: +0.00%

Best: +1.59%

Worst: +0.20%

Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%

Avg Gain: +0.39%

Avg Winner: +0.96%

Avg Loser: -0.76%

Best: +1.13%

Worst: -0.76%

Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.75%

Best MFE: +3.11%

Avg Time to MFE: 233 min

On average, NATL alerts reach +2.75% profit potential within 233 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.60%

Worst MAE: -2.45%

Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.71:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, NATL typically reaches +2.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3

Gap Up % 33.3%

Avg Gap -0.73%

Best Gap +0.37%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CALCULATING & ACCOUNTING MACHINES (NO ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS)

How NATL compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain

NATL: +0.48% Sector: -0.24% +0.72%

EOD Gain

NATL: -0.76% Sector: -7.27% +6.51%

Avg MFE

NATL: +2.34% Sector: +4.65% -2.32%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NATL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date	Time	Price	5min	15min	30min	60min	EOD	MFE	MAE	Gap	Result
2024-07-02	09:28:07	$28.9	+0.48%	+0.14%	+1.40%	+1.59%	-0.76%	+2.34%	-0.87%	-0.10%	WIN
2024-06-21	09:25:05	$27.34	+0.37%	+0.22%	-0.51%	-	+1.13%	+3.11%	-1.50%	+0.37%	WIN
2024-05-01	09:27:59	$20.41	-	-0.20%	-0.32%	+0.20%	+0.78%	+2.79%	-2.45%	-2.45%	-

Table Metrics Explained:

5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on NATL

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NATL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NATL Strategy →

Why Analyze NATL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NATL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NATL historically offers an average upside of +2.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NATL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, NATL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NATL performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.43%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.