Latest signal:
NSC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 35 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-22 → 2025-01-22
⚠️ Small sample size (35 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, NSC alerts reach +0.68% profit potential within 146 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 35 alerts, NSC typically reaches +0.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RAILROADS, LINE-HAUL OPERATING
How NSC compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical NSC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-22 | 09:28:04 | $251.69 | -0.62% | -0.19% | +0.19% | +0.21% | +0.06% | +0.83% | -1.02% | -0.39% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-29 | 09:25:52 | $249.44 | -0.37% | -1.30% | -0.66% | -0.14% | -0.73% | +0.25% | -1.59% | -0.79% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-24 | 09:25:07 | $244.5 | -1.66% | -2.76% | -1.57% | -2.26% | -3.39% | -1.11% | -2.43% | -1.86% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-01 | 09:28:52 | $253.38 | +0.24% | +0.25% | +0.76% | +1.09% | +1.62% | +1.76% | -0.21% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2024-02-01 | 00:00:00 | $251.49 | - | - | - | - | +1.49% | +1.71% | -1.70% | -0.47% | - |
| 2023-11-07 | 09:28:00 | $195.48 | -0.74% | -0.73% | -0.28% | -0.41% | -0.55% | -0.11% | -0.99% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-26 | 09:29:00 | $185.79 | +0.32% | +0.55% | +0.11% | +1.38% | -0.26% | +2.11% | -0.68% | +0.17% | WIN |
| 2023-09-06 | 09:26:00 | $204.01 | -1.45% | -1.36% | -1.20% | -1.65% | -2.74% | -1.08% | -1.91% | -1.39% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-21 | 09:27:00 | $234.95 | -3.12% | -2.31% | -2.38% | -2.14% | -0.83% | +0.02% | -3.21% | -0.86% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-22 | 09:28:00 | $225.9 | -1.50% | -1.54% | -1.81% | -3.12% | -3.39% | +0.19% | -0.07% | -0.87% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-18 | 09:26:00 | $215.0 | -0.00% | +0.14% | -0.47% | -0.26% | +0.54% | +0.77% | -2.94% | -0.42% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-17 | 09:26:00 | $216.08 | -1.00% | -0.13% | -0.64% | -0.87% | -0.51% | +0.32% | -1.36% | -1.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-11 | 09:28:00 | $210.12 | -0.30% | +0.36% | -0.03% | -1.04% | +0.09% | +0.57% | -0.44% | -0.40% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-10 | 09:25:00 | $208.45 | +0.52% | +0.61% | +0.18% | +0.29% | +0.02% | +0.97% | +0.52% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 2023-04-26 | 09:26:00 | $209.97 | -1.90% | -2.16% | -2.31% | -1.87% | -4.26% | -1.06% | -2.37% | -2.37% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-01 | 09:25:00 | $224.85 | -0.22% | -0.22% | +0.26% | -0.16% | +0.25% | +0.90% | -0.37% | -0.31% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-22 | 09:28:00 | $224.0 | +1.00% | +0.58% | +0.48% | +0.24% | -0.90% | +1.31% | +0.36% | +0.54% | WIN |
| 2023-02-14 | 09:26:00 | $237.6 | -0.35% | -0.55% | +0.10% | -0.13% | -0.98% | +0.59% | +0.08% | +0.59% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-19 | 09:25:00 | $250.6 | +0.34% | +0.43% | -0.16% | -0.03% | -1.44% | +0.65% | +0.09% | +0.09% | WIN |
| 2022-12-01 | 09:25:00 | $258.96 | -0.75% | -1.50% | -1.24% | -1.31% | -1.00% | +0.01% | -0.94% | -0.24% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ NSC Shows Negative Expectancy
With 44.1% win rate and -0.45% average gain, NSC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NSC for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze NSC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NSC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, NSC historically offers an average upside of +0.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 NSC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 44.1%, NSC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NSC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: NSC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.45%). This suggests NSC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.