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NTCT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-10-17 → 2023-10-17

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 12, 1999 🔗 www.netscout.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.97B 👥 Employees: 2,123
NetScout Systems Inc is a provider of service assurance and cybersecurity solutions to enterprise and government networks. It bases its solutions on proprietary adaptive service intelligence technology, which helps customers monitor and identify performance issues and provides insight into network-based security threats. These solutions also deliver real-time and historical information, which provides insight to restore service and understand the quality of user experience. The company derives revenue from the sale of network management tools and security solutions. Its geographical regions include USA, which derives maximum revenue, Europe, Asia, and Rest of the World.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+5.63%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+11.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.63%
Avg Winner: +5.63%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.63%
Worst: +5.63%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.31%
Avg Winner: +4.31%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.31%
Worst: +4.31%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.94%
Avg Winner: +1.94%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.94%
Worst: +1.94%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +7.24%
Avg Winner: +7.24%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +7.24%
Worst: +7.24%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +8.97%
Avg Winner: +8.97%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +8.97%
Worst: +8.97%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.84%
Best MFE: +11.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 179 min

On average, NTCT alerts reach +11.84% profit potential within 179 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.57%
Worst MAE: -0.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.57%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

20.83:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 20.83x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, NTCT typically reaches +11.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.14%
Best Gap +0.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN

How NTCT compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NTCT: +5.63% Sector: -0.04% +5.67%
EOD Gain
NTCT: +8.97% Sector: +3632.71% -3623.74%
Avg MFE
NTCT: +11.84% Sector: +5.44% +6.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NTCT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-10-17 09:29:00 $21.12 +5.63% +4.31% +1.94% +7.24% +8.97% +11.84% -0.57% +0.14% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on NTCT

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NTCT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NTCT Strategy →

Why Analyze NTCT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NTCT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NTCT historically offers an average upside of +11.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NTCT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, NTCT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NTCT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +5.63%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.