FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

OPFI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-08 → 2025-02-12

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 21, 2021 🔗 www.oppfi.com
💰 Market Cap: $274.2M 👥 Employees: 445
OppFi Inc is a tech-enabled, mission-driven specialty finance platform that broadens the reach of community banks to extend credit access to everyday Americans. It recognizes revenue through finance charges on installment and SalaryTap contracts based on the interest method.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
37.5%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-2.96%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.21%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 12.5%
Avg Gain: -3.77%
Avg Winner: +1.99%
Avg Loser: -4.59%
Best: +1.99%
Worst: -7.23%
Trades: 1/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 12.5%
Avg Gain: -4.84%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -5.89%
Best: +2.52%
Worst: -9.92%
Trades: 1/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -3.60%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: -4.92%
Best: +0.41%
Worst: -7.45%
Trades: 2/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -2.96%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -5.77%
Best: +2.32%
Worst: -9.57%
Trades: 3/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -1.34%
Avg Winner: +3.12%
Avg Loser: -4.02%
Best: +6.06%
Worst: -6.75%
Trades: 3/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.21%
Best MFE: +6.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, OPFI alerts reach +2.21% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.35%
Worst MAE: -7.36%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.35%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.94:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, OPFI typically reaches +2.21% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 12.5%
Avg Gap -1.05%
Best Gap +0.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How OPFI compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OPFI: -3.77% Sector: -0.22% -3.55%
EOD Gain
OPFI: -1.34% Sector: +101.11% -102.45%
Avg MFE
OPFI: +2.21% Sector: +5.23% -3.02%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OPFI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:25:16 $14.29 -0.70% +2.52% +0.28% +0.63% +0.07% +3.15% -4.83% +0.17% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:31 $12.1 -7.23% -3.60% +0.41% +2.32% +3.22% +3.55% -7.36% -0.41% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:27:50 $12.0 -6.12% -9.92% -5.08% -4.50% -6.17% - -0.08% - LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:53 $11.23 -4.10% -1.74% -1.78% +2.19% +6.06% +6.86% -4.53% -0.45% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:25:59 $10.0 -4.20% -6.04% -4.90% -6.00% -2.60% +1.50% +1.30% - LOSS
2025-01-10 09:27:54 $9.53 -4.41% -6.87% -7.45% -6.51% -2.52% -0.42% -1.47% -1.57% LOSS
2024-08-07 09:28:21 $3.92 +1.99% -6.12% -6.76% -9.57% -2.04% +2.04% -2.81% -1.02% WIN
2024-03-08 09:25:40 $3.11 -5.35% -6.91% -3.54% -2.25% -6.75% +0.96% +0.96% -5.14% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ OPFI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 37.5% win rate and -2.96% average gain, OPFI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider OPFI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze OPFI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OPFI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OPFI historically offers an average upside of +2.21% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OPFI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 37.5%, OPFI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests OPFI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: OPFI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -2.96%). This suggests OPFI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.