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PAPL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-02 → 2024-11-12
⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PAPL alerts reach +17.74% profit potential within 183 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.82%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.6x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, PAPL typically reaches +17.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 14.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES
How PAPL compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PAPL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-12 | 09:26:37 | $0.72 | +5.57% | +5.43% | +0.03% | +6.28% | +8.36% | +15.31% | -6.92% | +2.11% | WIN |
| 2024-07-16 | 09:29:16 | $0.85 | -14.47% | -16.45% | -14.44% | -17.79% | -17.62% | -1.53% | -9.38% | -7.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-21 | 09:25:00 | $1.75 | -3.43% | -1.14% | +4.00% | +7.67% | +13.11% | +21.14% | -3.43% | -3.43% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-01 | 09:26:00 | $1.7 | -4.65% | -7.64% | -9.99% | -9.02% | +29.41% | +37.64% | -15.29% | -5.29% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-02 | 09:27:00 | $2.23 | +3.59% | +3.94% | +14.15% | +8.52% | -17.04% | +16.14% | +0.90% | +3.14% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ PAPL Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 60.0% win rate, PAPL has -1.25% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making PAPL profitable.
🔧 Fix PAPL Risk/Reward →Why Analyze PAPL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PAPL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PAPL historically offers an average upside of +17.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PAPL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, PAPL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-12.22%) outweigh average wins (+6.06%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PAPL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -1.25%). This suggests PAPL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.