Latest signal:
PCAR Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 34 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-26 → 2025-02-03
⚠️ Small sample size (34 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PCAR alerts reach +1.00% profit potential within 154 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.57%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 34 alerts, PCAR typically reaches +1.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES
How PCAR compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PCAR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | 09:29:29 | $109.25 | -0.44% | -0.59% | -0.41% | +0.93% | -0.11% | +1.78% | -1.47% | +0.42% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-05 | 09:27:46 | $105.0 | +0.58% | +0.10% | +1.80% | +2.85% | +2.92% | +3.46% | -0.62% | -0.24% | WIN |
| 2024-09-26 | 09:25:11 | $99.58 | -0.45% | +0.51% | -0.03% | -0.40% | -1.78% | +0.77% | -0.87% | -0.44% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-12 | 09:25:02 | $93.04 | -0.18% | -0.59% | -1.32% | -0.77% | -0.94% | -0.18% | -0.62% | -0.58% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-24 | 09:27:55 | $108.87 | +0.95% | +1.58% | +0.52% | +0.79% | +0.51% | +1.58% | +0.76% | +0.78% | WIN |
| 2024-05-08 | 09:28:35 | $106.1 | -0.12% | -0.21% | -0.09% | +0.33% | +0.90% | +1.40% | -0.50% | +0.19% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-19 | 09:29:05 | $113.65 | -0.37% | -0.14% | -0.50% | -0.99% | -2.16% | +0.61% | -1.01% | +0.35% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-26 | 09:28:39 | $110.78 | +0.50% | +0.51% | +0.70% | +0.75% | +1.33% | +1.72% | -0.29% | -0.13% | WIN |
| 2023-08-09 | 09:26:00 | $85.88 | -0.10% | +0.24% | -0.06% | -0.37% | -0.54% | +0.58% | -0.54% | -0.44% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-31 | 09:27:00 | $71.13 | -0.42% | -1.03% | -1.73% | -2.33% | -3.30% | -0.28% | -0.62% | -0.28% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-25 | 09:27:00 | $69.78 | +0.24% | +0.64% | +1.51% | +1.13% | +1.78% | +1.88% | +0.03% | +0.69% | WIN |
| 2023-05-10 | 09:25:00 | $73.71 | +0.11% | -0.75% | -1.64% | -1.47% | -1.87% | +0.28% | -0.26% | -0.18% | WIN |
| 2023-03-24 | 09:29:00 | $69.81 | -1.30% | -1.48% | -1.49% | -1.00% | +0.13% | +0.16% | -2.18% | -0.79% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-06 | 09:26:00 | $76.3 | - | -0.03% | -0.07% | +0.24% | -0.03% | +0.43% | -0.29% | -0.14% | - |
| 2023-03-03 | 09:29:00 | $75.57 | -0.56% | -0.94% | -1.07% | -0.88% | +0.82% | +1.03% | -1.53% | -0.75% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-01 | 09:29:00 | $72.0 | -0.19% | +0.39% | +0.40% | +0.11% | +1.46% | +1.56% | -0.25% | -0.04% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-27 | 09:28:00 | $73.18 | -1.43% | -1.40% | -0.74% | -1.02% | -1.46% | -0.51% | -0.57% | -0.53% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-22 | 09:25:00 | $74.11 | -0.09% | -0.28% | -0.07% | -0.09% | -1.36% | +1.17% | -0.12% | +0.16% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-21 | 09:28:00 | $75.0 | +0.40% | +0.58% | -0.39% | -0.55% | -1.52% | +0.84% | +0.29% | +0.48% | WIN |
| 2023-02-06 | 09:25:00 | $109.52 | +0.56% | +0.44% | +0.63% | +0.37% | +0.84% | +1.17% | +0.06% | +0.41% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ PCAR Shows Negative Expectancy
With 44.1% win rate and -0.12% average gain, PCAR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PCAR for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze PCAR with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PCAR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PCAR historically offers an average upside of +1.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PCAR Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 44.1%, PCAR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PCAR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PCAR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.12%). This suggests PCAR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.