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Latest signal:

PTLO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-12 → 2024-05-07

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Portillo's Inc. Class A Common Stock RETAIL-EATING PLACES (SIC 5812)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 21, 2021 🔗 www.portillos.com
💰 Market Cap: $432.3M 👥 Employees: 8,180
Portillos Inc serves the Chicago street food industry through high-energy and multichannel restaurants designed to ignite the senses and create memorable dining experiences. It owns and operates fast-casual restaurants in the United States, along with two food production commissaries in Illinois. Its menu includes hot dogs, beef and sausage sandwiches, sandwiches and ribs, salads, burgers, chicken, Barnelli's pasta, sides and soup, and desserts and shakes.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
55.6%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +2.98%
Worst: -4.94%
Trades: 3/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.32%
Best: +2.54%
Worst: -3.36%
Trades: 3/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.40%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +3.38%
Worst: -1.02%
Trades: 4/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +1.72%
Worst: -2.06%
Trades: 5/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.71%
Avg Winner: +2.14%
Avg Loser: -2.13%
Best: +4.30%
Worst: -6.93%
Trades: 3/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.11%
Best MFE: +4.40%
Avg Time to MFE: 84 min

On average, PTLO alerts reach +2.11% profit potential within 84 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.26%
Worst MAE: -8.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.93:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, PTLO typically reaches +2.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap +0.09%
Best Gap +0.88%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES

How PTLO compares to 27 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PTLO: -0.47% Sector: -0.12% -0.35%
EOD Gain
PTLO: -0.71% Sector: +6.34% -7.05%
Avg MFE
PTLO: +2.11% Sector: +2.99% -0.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PTLO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-07 09:28:30 $11.4 +2.98% -3.36% -0.44% -0.35% -6.93% +4.30% -5.70% +0.88% WIN
2024-02-29 09:28:28 $14.51 +0.76% +1.72% +3.38% +0.90% +0.14% +3.99% -0.90% +0.69% WIN
2024-02-27 09:28:37 $16.0 -4.94% -2.66% -0.94% -0.44% -0.62% +1.06% -8.38% -0.44% LOSS
2023-08-08 09:28:00 $19.64 -0.92% -1.22% -1.02% -2.06% -2.65% -0.51% -0.71% -0.66% LOSS
2023-06-28 09:26:00 $20.91 -0.14% +0.33% +0.53% +0.74% +4.30% +4.40% -0.14% +0.05% LOSS
2023-06-08 09:25:00 $21.31 -1.13% -0.09% -0.80% -1.03% -1.50% - -1.13% - LOSS
2023-03-08 09:26:00 $20.11 +0.27% +2.54% +0.65% +1.72% +1.99% +2.54% -0.99% +0.85% WIN
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $22.67 -0.53% -0.09% - +0.30% -0.57% +1.28% -1.28% -0.49% LOSS
2022-08-12 09:25:00 $23.11 -0.63% -0.48% +1.04% +0.56% -0.52% +1.90% -1.13% -0.09% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.6% Baseline on PTLO

The 55.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PTLO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PTLO Strategy →

Why Analyze PTLO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PTLO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PTLO historically offers an average upside of +2.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PTLO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, PTLO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PTLO performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.