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Latest signal:

RMCO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-06 → 2023-12-26

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Royalty Management Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS (SIC 6794)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 06, 2023 🔗 www.royaltymgmtcorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $66.9M
Royalty Management Holding Corp formed to invest or purchase assets that have current or near-term income to provide the company with accretive cash flow from which it can reinvest in new assets or expand cash flow from existing assets. These assets typically are natural resources assets (including real estate and mining permits), patents, intellectual property, and emerging technologies.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.76%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+12.42%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.76%
Avg Winner: +3.98%
Avg Loser: -10.25%
Best: +7.50%
Worst: -10.25%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -8.36%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -8.36%
Best: -2.74%
Worst: -13.97%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -16.94%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -16.94%
Best: -2.26%
Worst: -35.12%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -3.29%
Avg Winner: +7.32%
Avg Loser: -13.90%
Best: +7.32%
Worst: -13.90%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -28.37%
Avg Winner: +6.85%
Avg Loser: -45.98%
Best: +6.85%
Worst: -50.28%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.42%
Best MFE: +14.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 32 min

On average, RMCO alerts reach +12.42% profit potential within 32 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.80%
Worst MAE: -4.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, RMCO typically reaches +12.42% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.76%
Best Gap +0.91%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS

How RMCO compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RMCO: -4.90% Sector: +0.28% -5.18%
EOD Gain
RMCO: -17.42% Sector: +167.77% -185.19%
Avg MFE
RMCO: +11.18% Sector: +9.02% +2.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RMCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-26 09:25:00 $2.19 +0.46% -2.74% -2.26% +7.32% +6.85% +14.16% -3.65% +0.91% WIN
2023-12-22 09:29:00 $4.39 -10.25% -13.97% -13.44% -13.90% -41.69% +8.20% -4.56% - LOSS
2023-11-06 09:28:00 $19.99 +7.50% - -35.12% - -50.28% +14.90% -3.20% -3.20% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RMCO Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, RMCO has -0.76% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making RMCO profitable.

🔧 Fix RMCO Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze RMCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RMCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RMCO historically offers an average upside of +12.42% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RMCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, RMCO shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-10.25%) outweigh average wins (+3.98%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RMCO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.76%). This suggests RMCO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.