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RRGB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-27 → 2025-01-13

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc RETAIL-EATING PLACES (SIC 5812)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 19, 2002 🔗 www.redrobin.com
💰 Market Cap: $73.8M 👥 Employees: 21,443
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc is a restaurant operator. The company develops, operates, and franchises casual-dining restaurants and fast-casual restaurants in North America. Its brands are Red Robin, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Red Robin America's Gourmet Burgers and Spirits, Red Robin Burger Works, YUMMM, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers and Brews, and Red Robin Royalty names and logos. The company's revenue consists of sales from restaurant operations, gift card breakage, franchise royalties and fees, and other miscellaneous revenue. The company has one operating and one reportable segment: restaurants.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.58%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+6.41%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.71%
Avg Winner: +1.70%
Avg Loser: -2.31%
Best: +2.33%
Worst: -3.85%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +1.58%
Avg Winner: +2.15%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +3.37%
Worst: -0.71%
Trades: 4/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +1.15%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -3.02%
Best: +5.22%
Worst: -3.02%
Trades: 4/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +2.45%
Avg Winner: +4.42%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +8.45%
Worst: -0.71%
Trades: 3/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +4.96%
Avg Loser: -6.04%
Best: +5.99%
Worst: -8.53%
Trades: 3/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.41%
Best MFE: +9.15%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, RRGB alerts reach +6.41% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.93%
Worst MAE: -5.77%
Avg Time to MAE: 42 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.93%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.19:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.19x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, RRGB typically reaches +6.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.28%
Best Gap +1.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES

How RRGB compares to 27 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RRGB: -0.71% Sector: -0.12% -0.58%
EOD Gain
RRGB: +0.56% Sector: +6.34% -5.78%
Avg MFE
RRGB: +6.41% Sector: +2.99% +3.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RRGB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-13 09:29:20 $5.98 -1.67% +1.17% +1.88% -0.33% -8.53% +4.85% -3.93% +1.00% LOSS
2024-08-23 09:25:26 $4.16 -3.85% +1.44% +0.96% +3.37% +4.33% +9.06% -5.77% -1.92% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:29:58 $6.51 +1.07% +3.37% +5.22% +8.45% +5.99% +9.15% -0.46% +0.46% WIN
2022-07-15 09:25:00 $8.44 -1.42% -0.71% -3.02% -0.71% -3.55% +1.90% -2.04% -0.47% LOSS
2022-05-27 09:25:00 $10.3 +2.33% +2.62% +0.73% +1.46% +4.56% +7.09% -2.43% -0.49% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on RRGB

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RRGB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RRGB Strategy →

Why Analyze RRGB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RRGB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RRGB historically offers an average upside of +6.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RRGB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, RRGB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RRGB performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.58%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.