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RXO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-09-10 → 2024-10-01

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 27, 2022 🔗 www.rxo.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.55B 👥 Employees: 9,873
RXO Inc is a brokered transportation platform defined by cutting-edge technology and a nimble, asset-light business model, with the component being core truck brokerage business. Its operations also include three asset-light, brokered transportation services, all of which complement its truck brokerage business: managed transportation, last mile and freight forwarding. The company operates into one reportable segment. The operates within the transportation industry and in the same geography North America.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.96%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.96%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: -0.21%
Worst: -1.72%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.87%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.87%
Best: -1.76%
Worst: -1.98%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.03%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.03%
Best: -1.76%
Worst: -2.31%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.61%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: -2.54%
Worst: -2.69%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.96%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.96%
Best: -2.90%
Worst: -3.02%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.30%
Best MFE: +0.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 1 min

On average, RXO alerts reach +0.30% profit potential within 1 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.12%
Worst MAE: -0.82%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.12%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.46:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.46x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, RXO typically reaches +0.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.15%
Best Gap -0.07%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TRANSPORTATION SERVICES

How RXO compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RXO: -0.96% Sector: -0.21% -0.75%
EOD Gain
RXO: -2.96% Sector: +900.40% -903.36%
Avg MFE
RXO: +0.30% Sector: +3.46% -3.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RXO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-01 09:28:21 $27.9 -1.72% -1.76% -1.76% -2.69% -2.90% +0.65% +0.57% -0.07% LOSS
2024-09-10 09:29:18 $26.81 -0.21% -1.98% -2.31% -2.54% -3.02% -0.04% -0.82% -0.22% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RXO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -0.96% average gain, RXO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RXO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RXO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RXO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RXO historically offers an average upside of +0.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RXO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, RXO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RXO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RXO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.96%). This suggests RXO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.